The Impact Of Population Structure On Industrial Structure In Jiangsu Province Empirical Study

At the beginning of the 21 st century,the growth rate of domestic population scale has declined,the economic growth rate has slowed down relatively,and the unreasonable industrial structure still exists.How to deal with the relationship between population structure and industrial structure is the focus of attention in today's society when the population scale has not changed too much.Especially now we are facing many problems,such as population aging,low urbanization rate and low education level.How to adjust the population structure and promote the optimization of industrial structure is an urgent problem to be solved.The reason for choosing Jiangsu Province as the research object of this paper is that Jiangsu Province is at the forefront of China's economic development and is the experimental field of China's economic reform,which has certain reference significance for the future study of China's economic development.In the first half of 2018,according to statistics,there were about 383,000 babies born in Jiangsu Province.Compared with the same period in the first half of 2017,the number of babies born in Jiangsu Province decreased by 56,000,nearly 12.8%,and the number of new-born babies decreased by a large margin.In such a severe form of fertility decline,the study of population structure in Jiangsu Province has greater practical significance for the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure.Based on the VAR model,this paper empirically analyses the relevant population data and industrial structure data of Jiangsu Province from 2002 to 2017.Under the new situation that the tertiary industry occupies the dominant position,this paper focuses on the advantages and disadvantages of the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure of Jiangsu Province by the aging population,the population of Higher Education and the population of urbanization.Qualitative and quantitative analysis of its impact on industrial restructuring and optimization.The results show that the aging population in Jiangsu Province is not conducive to the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure,but the impact is small.Theproportion of urbanized population expands in the adjustment and optimization of Jiangsu's industrial structure,but the degree of impact decreases year by year.The improvement of education level is conducive to the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure in Jiangsu Province,and its impact on industrial optimization is the greatest among the three research objects,and increases year by year.In view of this,this paper puts forward some suggestions.Firstly,the fertility rate of the population should be adjusted reasonably,and at the same time,some policies should be introduced to facilitate the immigration of young people.Second,we should increase investment in education to improve the education level of the province's population,and vigorously introduce high-end talents.Third,speed up urbanization and increase the proportion of urban population.Fourth,optimize the industrial layout to achieve balanced regional development.Fifth,increase the support to industry,and then enhance the competitiveness of Jiangsu's industry,strive to make Jiangsu's industry in the industrial chain in a favorable position,to promote the rapid,stable and reasonable economic growth of Jiangsu Province.