Financial Post-Evaluation Of Huaihua ChangShaoLou Expressway Project

Financial post-evaluation is one of the most important parts of the post-evaluation of expressway construction project.Investors of BOT project of expressway pay more attention to the operational efficiency during the operation period.It is the basis for expressway income to prospective traffic.Advertising business efficiency is one of the most important parts of the financial benefit,the same as risk evaluation.ChangShaoLou expressway is a BOT project which built in 2014.It is important to analysis financial post-evaluation to grasp futher financial benefits scientific.It is also provide a scientific basis to decision making.In this paper,baicang to ChangShaoLou expressway construction project feasibility study report compilation" as the standard,the expressway traffic volume forecast for the main theory of knowledge study,completed the work reported in the investment risk evaluation of Baicang to ChangShaoLou expressway.The paper first studies the road network present situation and the development planning of project influence area,has demonstrated the necessity and urgency of project construction,prepared for the reasonable forecast volume of traffic;and then having the investment evaluation of the advertising operation of ChangShaoLou expressway,including investigation and analysis of the current situation of advertising business,business model and recommendation and advertising business income evaluation;and then the regional road network undertook investigation and analysis of traffic volume,studies have identified the survey methods and survey point,synthesis of a base year OD table and OD matrix check,undertook traffic generation and distribution analysis and traffic flow analysis;afterwards with furness model,fratar model and Delphi method for the traffic generation forecast,traffic distribution forecast,traffic distribution forecast,the characteristics of regional road network traffic volume prediction method,get the traffic flow forecast results,mixed ratio of prediction results and turning traffic volume forecast results;then,in the prospective traffic volume forecast foundation,in accord with the relevant existing financial analysis and calculation method and financial policy,financial evaluation of this project has been completed.Finally,The project operation efficiency risks for Monte Carlo simulation,completed a risk assessment.The paper through the main theoretical knowledge of the relevant research,is a expressway in project investment risk evaluation study report of traffic volume forecast,financial evaluation and risk evaluation provides theoretical foundation,the theory,model and method has high theoretical and practical value,can be for future highway project investment risk evaluation model.