| As the main means of transportation for the citizens in the urban transportation system,the taxi is more and more popular because of speedy,safety,convenience,comfort and a wide range of services.However,the city taxi demand is not possible,and we must combined with the traffic situation to understand the relationship between taxi companies,the drivers,and the citizens,and ensure the development of city traffic system healthy,harmonious and orderly.Therefore,it is very important to forecast the demand of urban taxi and to maintain the balance between supply and demand.In this paper,I reviewed the research status of taxi demand and planning traffic capacity,introduced the relevant definitions,predicting models,research methods of the taxi demand.Secondly,I Analyzed the characteristics of travel ways of citizens,taxi travel indices and its characteristics combined with the stages of the city traffic through on-the-spot investigation and relevant references collection.The results showed:Taxi travel is one main means of transport for people in Anning city,but the number of taxis can only content the old main city and new Datun area of Anning City,and for the new areas,such as,Kunming iron and Steel Group,vocational education zone,Taiping,and Wenquan etc.the taxis are a few operation.Thirdly,I found out the factors affecting the taxi demand and analyzed the influences.And combining the existing predicting models of taxi demand,I took the city of Anning as examples to analyze and calculate the taxi demand using the supply-demand equilibrium method.Then I calculated and found out that the current taxi demand for the city of Anning is 175,and according to the actual size of the current peace,I get that the size of the taxi capacity of Anning city in 2020 is 220.Finally,I used the two methods to determine the taxi demand of Anning City taxi and the reasonable development scale in the future,and put forward the strategy of Anning City taxi increment by consiering with condition of the Anning city to provide the references for the administrative department of taxi in Anning. |
