Research On China’s Manufacturing Carbon Emission Effect Based On Global Value Chain

The continuous deepening of the global division has brought about a dramatic change in the international division.The intra-product division has gradually replaced the traditional inter-industry division and intra-industry division.While enjoying the benefits of rapid economic development,countries also face a serious challenge.For example,climate warming,which is mainly due to the emission of carbon dioxide.At the end of 2018,The Global Carbon Project released a forecast report that 7% of the global carbon emissions come from China.Therefore,from the perspective of global value chains division,the paper discusses the factors which constraint on the transition of China’s low-carbon economy,then the paper studies the intrinsic relationship between the degree of participation in global value chains and carbon emissions.China’s manufacturing industry is the research object of this paper.When summarizing the domestic and foreign literatures,it found that most of the literatures are based on the industrial point of view to study the carbon emissions of manufacturing industry.From the provincial level,this paper examines the spatial heterogeneity and correlation between regions in terms of geographical distance and economic distance.Firstly,it analyzes the degree of China’s manufacturing industry’s participation in global value chain and the current situation of carbon emissions.The research shows that China’s manufacturing industry has long been at the low end of the global value chain,which mainly engaged in simple manufacturing processes such as processing and assembly.The degree of inter-provincial participation in global value chains and carbon emissions are different due to geographical location and economic development.Secondly,based on the current situation and theoretical analysis,it is concluded that from the perspective of global value chain,the factors influencing manufacturing carbon emissions are economic scale,industrial structure,technological progress and environmental regulation.That is,the carbon emission effect can be decomposed into the background of global value chain.Scale effects,structural effects,technological effects,environmental regulatory effects,and global value chain effects.This paper uses the spatial measurement estimation method to empirically analyze the conclusions.In general,the higher the degree of manufacturing participation in the global value chain is,the higher the increase of carbon emissions will be restrained.The decomposition model of carbon emission effect shows that scale effect and environmental regulation effect promote carbon emission in manufacturing industry,and structure effect and technology effect inhibit carbon emission in manufacturing industry.Among them,the effect of scale effect is far greater than the technical effect,global value chain effect and structural effect.In terms of regions,the empirical results in the eastern and central regions are basically the same as the overall situation.The western region has less interaction with other regions,and the participation in the global value chain is not high enough to pass the significant test.However,its negative impact coefficient still shows that the higher the value chain participation is,the lower the carbon dioxide emissions will be.Finally,based on the conclusion,this paper puts forward the corresponding suggestions to achieve economic low-carbon transformation,which are actively participating in high-end links of global value chain,adjusting industrial structure,strengthening technological innovation and reasonably designing environmental regulation policy respectively.