Research And Analysis On The Development Potential Of Forestry Carbon Sink Projects In China

Forestry carbon sinks have gradually attracted domestic and international attention due to their multiple ecological and economic benefits,and have become a type of project with broad development prospects in the carbon trading market.China has taken ecological civilization construction as a basic national policy.In order to cope with climate change,forest carbon development is imperative.The main purpose of this paper is to determine the future development direction of China's forestry carbon sequestration projects through research on domestic and international carbon markets and domestic related carbon sink policies,and to predict the future development of forest land area and emission reductions for future governments and enterprises.Develop forestry carbon sink projects to select the types of advantageous projects and project activity areas,thereby saving costs and maximizing carbon sink benefits.This paper mainly uses the combination of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis,policy research and inductive reasoning.The research results are as follows:1.At present,the area of suitable lands for forest in China is 34.33 million hectares,and the area of suitable lands for forest in North China is the largest,accounting for 45.19%of the area,followed by the northwest region,accounting for 27.85%.There are 117.54 million hectares of natural arbor forests in China,and the area of sapling forests and half-mature forests in the southwestern region is the largest and the largest,accounting for 21.01 million hectares,followed by the northeastern region,with a total area of 15.07 million hectares.There are 47.07 million hectares of artificial arbor forests and the area of sapling forests and half-mature forests in southern China is 8.32 million hectares,followed by Central China with 7.12 million hectares.2.The international carbon trading market is diversified.VCS is the most concerned in the voluntary market.Among the carbon trading projects related to forestry,REDD,A/R and IFM projects have large offsets,and the average transaction price is stable,which has potential for development.The proportion of forestry carbon sink projects in domestic CCER and carbon quota trading markets is very small,and most of them use offline agreements for trading.Domestic forestry carbon sinks are still at the beginning stage and have great room for development.3.The forestry carbon sink project that meets CCER regulations in 2019-2030 can generate up to 340.39 million tons of emission reductions.Among them,the afforestation carbon sink project is expected to generate up to 290.82 million tons of emission reductions.The area with the largest emission reductions is North China(100.55 million tons of CO2e),followed by the northwest(84.57 million tons of CO2e).The forest management carbon sink project is expected to generate a maximum of 49.58 million tons of emission reductions.The region with the largest emission reductions is southwest(17.17 million tons of CO2e),followed by Central China(11.72 million tons of C02e).The forestry carbon sink project that meets VCS regulations in 2019-2030 can generate up to 292.47 million tons of emission reductions.Among them,ARR is expected to generate up to 243.61 million tons of emission reductions.The area with the largest emission reductions is North China(84.23 million tons of CO2e),followed by the northwest(70.84 million tons of CO2e).The forest management carbon sink project is expected to generate a maximum of 48.87 million tons of emission reductions The region with the largest emission reductions is Southwest(17.14 million tons of CO2e),followed by Central China(11.66 million ton CO2e).