Research On The Relationship Between Climate Change And Economic Growth In Chongqing

As an important factor in human activities,climate will have an important impact on human activities and social economy.For example,in the regions with different climates such as the south and the north,the east and the west,the economic development model is different;and the social production activities will also Reacts to the climate,such as acid rain,haze and other bad weather.There are indications that climate change has seriously affected China's economic development.Since the municipality directly under the central government,the rapid economic development,the contradiction between economic growth and climate change has become increasingly prominent.Exploring the relationship between the two and finding a harmonious development of climate and economy is one of the important tasks at the moment.First of all,this paper reads the books related to climate economics according to the topic and consults the literature on economic growth and climate change research at home and abroad,and analyzes the internal relationship between climate change and economic growth.It is concluded that there is indeed a close relationship between climate change and economic development,and it is concluded that temperature,precipitation and sunshine hours are key indicators for measuring climate change.Secondly,by querying the "Chongqing Statistical Yearbook","China Statistical Yearbook","Chongqing City Climate Bulletin" and "Chongqing Environmental Statistics Bulletin" and other relevant materials,the data of various industries in Chongqing and the precipitation,average temperature and Sunshine hours data,establish a typical correlation model to analyze the relationship between climate and various industries;select gross production value as the main variable of economic development,fixed asset investment as the main variable of economic succession development,measure and analyze them with cointegration test Is there a long-term trend relationship between them;use Granger causality to test whether this relationship is a two-way influence relationship.It is concluded that the total industrial output value and the tertiary industry's total output value are the main indicators related to climate change in various industries;there is a long-term trend relationship between Chongqing's GDP and social fixed assets investment and various climate change indicators,and they are mutual The relationship of influence.Finally,combined with the analysis of the relationship between climate and economy,the seasonal time series model is used to make a simple prediction of climate change and economic indicators in Chongqing,and policy recommendations are proposed based on the research conclusions.In terms of economic development,Chongqing can start from transforming the mode of economic growth and adjusting the industrial structure,focusing on the development of the tertiary industry to stimulate economic growth.In response to the climate situation,Chongqing needs to increase the level of environmental governance investment,such as In the industrial sector,industries that suppress low-efficiency and high-pollution will further realize green development and create more economic value through the introduction of new technologies,new technologies,and the absorption of talents.