Research Of Stock Investment Based On The Network Box With The Economic Market

With the rapid development of market economy,financial investment has gradually come into people's sights.Compared with traditional financial investments(bank deposit),stock investment is highly sought due to its low investment,low risk and relatively high return.As everyone knows,because of the volatility,timeliness,volatility and instability of the stock market,the stock investment based on the times has also appeared the multiple multidimensional prediction system.But with the development of economic market,people's cognition of the related theory and composition of stock market is deepening.From technical analysis to fundamental analysis,it is to seek more effective ways to reflect the true value of stock,that is,the intrinsic value of stock.Based on the analysis of the stock market,this paper re-constructs the new market theory under the original economic market theory conjecture.Due to the restriction of the economic environment,the economic market is divided into two grades:the international market and the domestic market.In the market of two different grades,the corresponding constraints are established,and then the box is formed.Then we divide the market into two cases according to the structure of the box cluster:synchronous market and deviating market.The purpose of this paper is to choose the right stocks to derive and forecast on the basic on the synchronous market.Firstly,the basic knowledge,constitution and classification of market theory conjecture are deeply studied,and then the unique market theory is established according to China's national conditions.Secondly,the intrinsic value of stocks need to study.Intrinsic value directly reflects the true value and re-creation value of the stock.The fluctuation of stock market price will be kept up and down in the intrinic value of the stock.This paper will realize the purposes mainly from two aspects.One is the technical aspect,combined with the existing stock discount model,residual value model and free cash flow model,to achieve the budget by the combination model of dynamic regression model.The other is information research,to estimate the value of the stock through research report,plate attribute,and information(national policy and network information)of the listed company of the stock.Then,the selected stocks are analyzed and predicted to find the buying point and selling point by combining with the box body belt of network.Modified GARCH model was used to predict the trend.Then the crate cluster is builded to pick out the buying and selling points.Finally,the selected stock is post-tested.It's mainly about effective returns for investors,analyzing the value of the investment by comparing the most stable bank's interest with the stock's of the same period.