Study On Financial Risk Early Warning Of Grey Prediction Principle In The Enterprises

Since 2003,China's economic development has always maintained a steady trend for the better,the real estate enterprises such as bamboo shoots after a spring rain as the birth of.2008 years,the spread of the global financial crisis,countries are affected to varying degrees,but China's economic development for the real economy,is less affected.Has maintained a steady trend for the better,2010 China became the world's second largest economy with $58786 of GDP,from the ranks of low-income countries into the middle-income status.Especially for the real estate industry of our country increase GDP outstanding contribution,to achieve strong recovery.In the face of the global economic structure complex The complex situation of economic environment,China steady pace,continuing to promote the supply side reform,steady growth,an increase of more than 6.7%GDP.The changes of the enterprise cannot change the external environment,only to improve the internal environment,bad influence actively adapt to the external environment to come,the adjustment of its environment to formulate,cycle of enterprise strategy,we can reduce the financial risk.This paper consists of six parts.The first part is the introduction,introduces the research background and significance are described.The research status at home and abroad,explains the research purpose,put forward the ideas and methods of this research.The second part discusses the relevant theories of real estate financial risk and financial distress,and focuses on the application of grey prediction method based on the introduction and its related concepts,provide a theoretical basis for the following analysis and conclusion.In the third part,Hengda Group basic situation and financial situation were analyzed.Finally,that Hengda Group warning status problems.That Hengda Group's financial risk exists.In the fourth part,the use of gray Correlation method within the enterprise performance evaluation system can reflect the selection of Hengda Group financial activity index,combined with the external environmental factors of enterprises,a model of financial risk early warning index system of Hengda Group.In the fifth part,according to the comprehensive evaluation of the fourth chapter,put forward specific measures to prevent financial risk.In the sixth part,conclusion and Enlightenment according to the case.Summary and analysis to the real estate industry's financial risk implications.This paper explores the grey relational analysis of grey theory and grey prediction method to establish the index selection and model,put forward the micro warning model "suitable for enterprise" concept,using the grey forecasting method of financial indicators and non-financial indicators of selection and calculation,so as to build a financial success risk warning model of the company.And Hengda Group risk status from two aspects of financial indicators and non-financial factors of comprehensive evaluation.