Resource-based cities are built up relying on the exploitation and use of natural resources,which made a significant contribution to China’s economic and social development in the early stage.Due to the mineral resource non-renewable,more and more cities have been resource exhaustion.As a result,bringing a series of problems such as single industry structure,environmental in local pollution and so on.Resource-based cities have to confront the serious challenge of sustainable development.Study on industry transformation is focused on the attention of scholars.With China’s economy enter a new normal,many of the cities that resources are not exhausted are facing challenges such as economic downturns,industry overcapacity and increasing environment pollution.The industry transition can’t be avoided.Taking advantage of the rich mineral resources,Yulin achieves the economic leapfrog development.But a single structure to the energy industry mainly also led to the other industries underdeveloped,environmental pollution and other issues,and affected by the domestic economic new normal background,the sustainable development is facing severe challenges in Yulin.Through the system studies on the evaluation of industrial transition capacity,the leading industry and the transformation path of Yulin city,this paper provides theoretical guidance and practical reference for industrial transition of Yulin and resource-based cities.Firstly,the article analyzes the evolution of the three industries in Yulin City by using the evolution index,such as industrial structure entropy,similarity of industrial structure.At the same time,it analyzes the industrial layout in Yulin by using the location entropy.Secondly,combining with the characteristics of the new normal economy and the typical case of industry transformation in resource-based cities,this paper constructs the evaluation system of industrial transformation ability in Yulin and evaluates its transformation ability by using data envelopment analysis method.On this basis,it summarizes the industrial structure of the difficulties faced by the transformation,lay the foundation for its transformation.Third,using the shift share analysis method to evaluate the three industries in Yulin City,on the basis of determining its development direction of leading industry in the future.According to the actual situation and the factors influencing the choice of the path of industrial development in Yulin City,to determine the reasonable path of industrial transformation in Yulin City,and put forward the corresponding optimization strategy.Research conclusions are as follows:(1)It can be seen from the evolution of the industrial structure:the three industries presented the characteristics of "two,three,one",and the industrial structure is not balanced.Specific performance:there was an unbalanced development trend in the whole industrial structure,industrial structure entropy changes between 1.09 to 0.65(1998-2015);There was a situation of an isomorphic feature between the level of the Yulin and Shanxi Province,because of the similarity index above 0.91;Industrial employment structure deviation degree decreased from 3.5 to 1.9(1998-2015),the coordination degree of industrial and employment structure is low.According to the internal structure of the three industries,the internal structure of each industry was simplified;Agriculture,Energy and Chemical industry,Traditional service industry accounts of the proportion of industry is the largest.In short,affected by the resource endowment,the three industrial layouts in Yulin city show significant regional differences in the north-south direction.Six northern counties mainly in the second industry leades economic development,while the southern six counties on the first and the three industries to promote regional economic growth.(2)Using the data envelopment analysis(DEA)method,we can conclude that the ability of industrial transformation has been enhanced in Yulin,but it has a larger space for improvement.From the comprehensive efficiency,the value of 0 increases from 0.345 to 1,with an average of 0.757;Look from pure technical efficiency,its value fluctuates between 0.825 and 1,the average is 0.948;The value of scale efficiency changes from 0.378 to 1,the average is 0.801,it respectively has 24.3%,5.2%,19.9%the space of improvement from the efficiency frontier.From 12 counties,the ability of industrial transformation is increased from south to north in turn,and is concentrated in space distribution,the improvement of transformation capacity is large.At the same time,the paper analyzes the dilemma of industry development in Yulin City,it shows for the internal impetus driving of enterprise is insufficient,the industrial structure is not balanced,industry overcapacity is serioused,environment pollution is increased.The transformation of industrial structure is more urgent.(3)By deviation analysis method can be obtained:Energy and Chemical products,Agricultural and Sideline products,Modern business tourism products market have a large advantageness of competitiveness and industrial development foundation.So,there should be the focus of development of the industry in the future.From the three industries within the sub-sectors,manufacture of raw chemical materials and chemical products,production and supply of electric power and heat power,processing of petroleum,mining and processing of non-ferrous metal ores,mining and washing of coal,extraction of petroleum and natural gas,agricultural and processing of food from agricultural products,retail and wholesale trade,tourism as the leading industry,because of their department have a high of growth and structure advantage.It was thought as a good choice to select the compound mode in Yulin by considering the internal and external factors of urban.Look from each county of Yulin city,leading industry of the northern six counties focuses on the energy chemical industry industry,equipment manufacturing,new industry,the logistics industry;South six counties mainly focuses on the characteristics of agriculture,agricultural and sideline products processing industry,tourism,trade and circulation,salt chemical industry in the future.(4)According to the actual situation of industrial development in Yulin city and the influencing factors of industrial transformation path,it can be seen that industrial restructuring of Yulin city by various industrial development path,and put forward by establishing a multivariate industry system and perfect the guarantee system to promote industrial transformation smoothly.From the influencing factors of the transformation path,the development of energy resources in Yulin City is in the period of increasing production,the scale of development is big,the policy tendency is obvious,the location advantage is outstanding,the energy industry is still the industry which should be developed in the future,and in order to reduce the dependence on the resource industry,to avoid "Resource curse",should also develop the corresponding substitution industries;from the optimization strategy of the transformation,through the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries,cultivate and grow new industries,and actively develop modern agriculture and services to establish a diversified industrial system,by increasing the policy and funding support,strengthen personnel,science and technology investment,improve the ecological environment aspects to Perfect the security system of industry transformation. |