The Impact Of China's Export Changes On Employment Based On Non-Competitive Input-Output Table

China's total exports accounted for 20%of GDP since 2000,although the financial crisis in 2008 had a greater impact on China's foreign trade,but exports accounted for more than 20%.In 2016,China's GDP was 74.41 trillion yuan,and the total export volume of goods reached 13.84 trillion yuan at the end of 2016,down by 2%year-on-year.From the volume point of view,exports as external demand will lead to more employment opportunities,and export changes will indirectly affect the labor market and social stability,the development of China's economy will also have an important role.According to the calculation of this paper,the vertical specialization ratio of China's exports has a gradual decline since 2001 to 2015:from 18.23%in 2001 to 24.8%in 2007,and then slowly dropped to 21.08 in 2015(20%),the domestic value-added part of the compression,the corresponding external demand caused by the employment opportunities will be reduced,on the one hand the decline in the ratio is also reflected in the side of the part of the import of products in China China's export sector of the industrial structure there is a certain optimal adjustment.According to the input-output model,the use of complete employment coefficient and export demand changes can be measured in China's labor market employment situation.From the non-competitive input-output table and customs data expanded from each year,it can be seen that the labor demand of export is less than the labor demand caused by domestic demand,and the labor demand for export of processed trade is less than the domestic demand and the labor demand of general trade export.With the decline in total exports,labor demand for processing trade and general trade exports has fallen significantly,and labor demand for processing trade exports has responded more quickly to changes in world markets.Compared with the use of constant industrial wage level,in considering the actual wage changes in the industry after the export demand for employment changes in the larger results.Although the difference between the measured value and the actual employment is large,it still reflects the difference in the employment of the export sector in China.