| In recent years,in the context of total social logistics steady growth,railway freight volume,especially coal,steel,oil and other commodities freight shipments decreased year by year.In order to grasp the development of commodities freight market and explore the reasons for the decline of railway commodities freight market,to stable railway commodities freight supply market,the railway commodities freight market monitoring is particularly important.Through the construction of railway commodities freight market monitoring indicators and the preparation of the railway commodities freight market prosperity index,so that to timely grasp the national macroeconomic environment and market supply and demand situation,is of great practical significance to improve the competitiveness of railway market.Covering the monitoring index system construction,prosperity index compilatio n,monitoring process design three core contents,this paper is mainly for the railway commodities freight market monitoring program to carry out research.First of all,we introduce the research background and significance of this paper,summarizes the research status of experts and scholars at home and abroad,and then determines the content,methods and technical route of this paper.Then,we analyze the railway commodities freight market,and then we analyze the change of the overall freight volume and the freight quantity of the railway and the influencing factors,and conclude the necessity and feasibility of carrying out the market monitoring.Then,this paper constructs the monitoring index system of the railway commodities freight market according to the principle of conprehensiveness,feasibility and typicality.At the same time,drawing on the content of monitoring system of domestic related industry market,four indicators of monitoring index system of commodities freight market are selected:macroeconomic indicators,supply and demand monitoring indicators,tariff monitoring indicators and competitive monitoring indicators.Then the growth rate cyclical fluctuation method is used to pretreat the data of the monitoring index of railway commodities freight market from 1995 to 2014.Based on the commodities freight volume of the railway,the correlation analysis was carried out by SPSS 19.0 software to determine the prosperity index.Using the method of synthetic index to compile the railway commodities freight market prosperity index,the results show that China’s railway freight market is in a sluggish state.By analyzing the relationship between the railway commodities freight market and the macroeconomic,the supply and demand situation and the competitive factors,the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are given.Finally,the data acquisition channels and methods of the above-mentioned monitoring index system are described.By the analysis of market monitoring network layout,we design the railway commodities freight market monitoring process. |