Population Urbanization, Non-agricultural Employment And Regional Economic Growth

Population urbanization features great significance to economic and social developments, and the enormous potentials of domestic demand and agglomeration effect are the important impetus for the development of national economy and social advances,and play an important role in the transfer of rural surplus labor force and the broadening of the channels for increasing farmers incomes. However, with the decrease in our nation’s surplus labor force and the elevation in the degree of an aging society as well as the intensification of the resource and environmental restraints, the extensive pattern of urbanization in the past has caused problems to emerge one after another. The orderly promotion of population urbanization is inseparable from the development of the non-agricultural industries and the blind promotion of the population urbanization is bond to bring about losses of economic efficiency.In the future, the release of the economic effects of population urbanization lies in the citizenization of the transferred population in rural areas, and the basic condition is to provided the transferred farmers rather stable non-agricultural employment opportunities and ensure their income levels can support them in their settling in urban areas and conducting day-today consummations. Therefore, when conducting research on the effects of economic growth of population urbanization this Paper attaches great importance to the issue of coordinated development population urbanization and non-agricultural employments. In incorporates the non-agricultural employments into the study of the relationship between population urbanization and economic growth, thus further enriching the theoretical system that population urbanization enhances economic growth and in practice and benefiting the providing of proposal to the government regarding the paths for the promotion of the new type urbanization.By selecting the statistics of the 30 provinces on mainland China between 2005 and 2014 and using Doberman model of spatial panel, this Paper conducts empirical tests on the effects of economic growth brought about by population urbanization and non-agricultural employment, and the study reveals that: under the set geographic weight matrix, regional economy has spatial dependency and heterogeneity. After the determinations of such variants as the industrial scale, HR levels and government interventions, the population urbanization and non-agricultural employment presents a positive regional direct effects; the inter-regional spillover effects of the population urbanization on economic growth are negative, while the inter-regional spillover effects of the non-agricultural employment on economic growth are positive, but they are both insignificant. It is noteworthy that the interactions between both the population urbanization and non-agricultural employments not only feature significant direct effects in the negative region,but also features significant negative inter-regional spillover effects. IN general, both population urbanization and non-agricultural employment play an obvious promoting effect on regional economic development; however, the inconsistent developments of these two has hampered the growths of regional economies.