| With rapid urbanization,Jiangsu Province,to promote the proven fast-growing green area per capita park internal external influence mechanism behind the phenomenon,to guide scientific and rational planning of urban green space construction and the development of policies and other provinces to provide effective theoretical basis.First,this paper describes the theoretical impact of urbanization on the per capita green area of the park,especially the impact of urbanization into the mechanism of the population,land,economy three aspects of urbanization;secondly,in Jiangsu Province as the research unit,use 1996-2013 Time series data in Jiangsu Province,the establishment of VAR autoregression model,impulse response and variance decomposition,long-term equilibrium relationship between the two tests,the long-term dynamic development trend;Finally,1996--2013 years and above the county level in Jiangsu Province city data,the establishment of inter-city panel data model to quantify the towns within the study period of growth of per capita green area of the park’s contribution.Study conclusions:1.The theoretical analysis showed that: increase the per capita green area of the park is the population,the result of land,economy combined effects of urbanization,population urbanization is the growth of green area per capita park raw power,land urbanization is the internal growth of green area per capita park basic power,economy urbanization is growing per capita park green area outside impetus.2.The estimated results of time-series data,each element of urbanization and per capita park green area are long-run equilibrium relationship,changes in the per capita green area of the park with the urbanization there is a strong correlation exists.And the impact of urbanization on the per capita green area of the park overall there was a positive response,including the contribution of urbanization of the population per capita green area of the park is far from economic,land urbanization is high,relatively stable,the economy,the urbanization of land per capita green area of the park The impact was stage characteristics.3.The panel data to study the testing period,all the elements of urbanization there are significant differences that affect the intensity of green area per capita park,urbanization of the population every 10% increase in the per capita green area of the park will increase by about 1.2%;economy each increase of 10% per capita park green area will increase by about 0.02%;land urbanization every 10% increase in the per capita green area of the park will increase by about 0.01%. |
