Inland Water Traffic Safety Risk Research

Inland water transportation industry in the development of national economy is playing an increasingly important role,along with the continuous development of economy in our country,the inland waterway transportation industry has been rapid development.However,increasing the number of transport ships,tonnage constantly accelerating speed and inland transportation pressure is more and more big,the number of accidents is also increasing,caused by the accident losses are also increasing.Due to the highly complexity of inland waterway traffic accident damage in our country,if you want to completely change our country inland water traffic safety situation,it must establish a scientific and suitable for inland waterway traffic safety evaluation system,to achieve the purpose of reducing the risk of inland waters ship sailed as soon as possible.At first,this paper fully understand the research achievements of Chinese inland waterway transportation about security risks,has carried on the comprehensive analysis and study the uniqueness of inland waterway traffic problems and risk human,ship and environment,management,four major influence factors on the characteristics of its various influencing factors in the integration.According to the result of a new integration,established a set of suitable evaluation in our country inland water traffic safety risk index set.In the end,then on the basis of fully considering the principle of evaluation index system of building,established the evaluation index system of inland water traffic safety risk.Second,according to the characteristics of the inland water traffic safety risk,the characteristics of each evaluation index and the respective standards,this article respectively to the overall risk and risk of each evaluation index hierarchy.Again,this article in inland water traffic safety risk evaluation,USES a multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model,and through the DEMATEL model determine the evaluation index weight;For the determination of risk level is adopt expert investigation method and verified instance,verify the effectiveness of the proposed models and methods accordingly and operability.Finally,the article about the future a certain period of time to evaluate the risk of the songhua river navigation area,analyze the results and put forward rational Suggestions.