The Demand Forecasting Of Integrative Transportation In Jilin Province

With the development of social economy,transportation and transportation in Jilin Province has been developed and progressed greatly.It has played an increasingly important role in the process of social and economic development and improvement of people's living standard.The degree of socio-economic development.The integrated transportation system is mainly composed of waterway transportation system,highway automobile transportation system,railway transportation system and civil aviation transportation system,which is the basic industry of social development.It is necessary to study the demand forecast of integrated transportation in Jilin province and the development of neighboring provinces and cities Very important.In this paper,the research on the forecast of comprehensive transportation demand mainly includes two aspects:(1)forecasting of passenger and cargo demand in the province;and(2)forecasting the spatial distribution of passenger and freight demand.Among them,Jilin Province passenger and cargo demand forecast,including railways,highways,water transport and civil aviation in four ways constitute the total passenger volume and passenger volume forecast,rail,road and water transport in three ways,as well as the above passenger and cargo Forecast of Freight Volume and Passenger and Freight Turnover Structure.This paper is divided into six chapters,which are the introduction,the present situation of passenger and freight demand in Jilin Province,the analysis of passenger and cargo demand distribution in Jilin Province,the forecast of passenger and freight demand in Jilin Province,the analysis and forecast of passenger and freight demand in Jilin Province,and the prediction of channel and conclusion.Based on the economic data since 2000,this paper analyzes the current situation of economic development in Jilin Province,including the industrial structure,key industries and the basic situation of people's life,and to determine the forecasting of passenger and freight demand distribution in Jilin Province.Based on the analysis of the current situation of passenger and freight demand in Jilin Province,the present situation of passenger and cargo demand distribution in Jilin Province was determined,and the distribution of passenger and freight demand between highway and railway in the provinces,municipalities and provinces of Jilin Province and provinces,On this basis to establish a scientific mathematical model.At the same time,based on the economic growth of Jilin Province and municipalities during the 12 th Five-Year Plan period,considering the planning of Harbin-Changsha urban agglomeration,the overall planning of western Jilin eco-economic zone,the overall planning of green transformation and development area in eastern Jilin Province,And Changji map industry development plan,to determine the distribution of passenger and freight demand forecast in Jilin Province,Jilin Province,to prove the overall planning of the "three vertical and three horizontal" overall structure,rational allocation of public infrastructure resources to meet the economic development needs of Jilin Province.