| The excessive development and use of fossil fuels has led to a series of problems, such as energy depletion and environmental quality degradation. Wind energy is a kind of non pollution, zero emissions and renewable resources, which is one of the most promising renewable energy sources.Therefore, the exploration of optimal development of wind energy resources in China, the optimal diffusion model of wind energy industry and the optimal control of the domestic power industry will help the development of wind energy resources in various aspects of the time control and the development of government policy.In this paper analyzes the influence law of the rapid development of China’s wind power industry,the impact of government support policy on wind power installed in the wind power prediction model,based on the Bass model to estimate and optimize the model parameters, the results show that wind energy technology diffusion model in the innovation coefficient, imitation coefficient and the maximum market potential for historical data fitting better. Analysis of the change of the cost of wind power installed in China, the establishment of a learning curve model for wind power installed costs for modeling and forecasting. The wind power generation optimization model for wind power generation in 2020 is analyzed and predicted, the results show that China’s wind power generation in2020 under the existing economic and policy constraints for the power industry in China has a great easing of the tension situation, the forecast results will help the government to formulate appropriate policies to deal with the future tense situation in China’s power industry. At last, it puts forward some constructive suggestions for the development of wind power industry, and promotes the rapid and healthy development of wind power industry. |
