Research On The Economic Impact Of Tourism Development In Yuan’an

Research on the economic impact of tourism development has always been the focus of domestic and foreign scholars with related studying. This paper can enrich the tourism economic impact theory, let more scholars pay attention to this area; This paper select for Yuan’an for the study, will let the great and resource-rich county to be powerful in the tourism, then it can provide experience for other area in the development of the tourism.Organizing related theoretical basis such as the theory of elasticity, tourism multiplier theory in this field of research, then, on the basis of the present situation Of tourism in Yuan’an, the key task is the quantitative evaluation of the economic impact of tourism in Yuan’an. First, research the direct impact of tourism to GDP in 2000-2012, according to the formula of tourism multiplier effect, research on the indirect effects of GDP, at the same time, by using the method of fitting prediction of the tourism revenue forecast next five years; Second, based on the demand income elasticity theory, studies the case of Yuan’an pulling the social demand of tourism. Third, on the basis of employment elasticity and cobb Douglas production function theory, using regression analysis method, calculating the tourism employment elasticity coefficient, then compared with the three industries and some sectors of employment. Finally, using the correlation analysis method to calculate the correlation between the tourism and agriculture, industry, transportation and postal services, insurance, construction, wholesale trade catering industry. The main conclusions are as follows:First, every 1 yuan in tourism income, will lead to the GDP growth of about 20.373 yuan, at the same time, by using the method of fitting prediction of Yuan’an tourism revenue forecast next five years, forecasts the present a tendency of strengthening the influence of the county’s GDP.Second, the tourism demand for income is elastic, the elasticity coefficient is at a maximum in 2002, but the coefficients are less than that afterwards, then, the elasticity coefficient is in another new heights during nearly thirteen years.Third, whenever the Yuan’an 1 unit of tourist income, the employment growth will drive the 0.403 units, then compared with the three industries and some sectors of employment, it is concluded that tourism employment elasticity coefficient is higher than the average employment elasticity of the three industries, but compared to the third industry in the wholesale trade catering industry still has great gap.Finally, the correlation between the tourism and agriculture, industry, transportation and postal services, insurance, construction, wholesale trade catering industry is 0.993, 0.988,0.986,0954,0.921,0.918. It is concluded that the tourism and wholesale trade catering industry have the lowest relationship, which need to reinforce the relationship between the tourism and it. Then the industry need to change the mode of production.At present, the focus of the research in the field is province. In terms of the method, many scholars choose the qualitative analysis. This paper selects for Yuan’an for the study, can make up the deficiency in the study of little area, and it can provide a more precise reference for the local government to formulate policies.The lack of the research are showed as follows:It can reflect the economic impact of tourism in Yuan’an more accurately if can expand the scope of its time; still need to perfect the calculation method in the employment elasticity of tourism and industrial linkage; In terms of the purposes, this paper need to perfect the contents.