Chracteristic Analysis Of Industrial Structure In Guanzhong Area Based On Shift-share Method

Industry is the product of social division, and industry structure mainly refers to industry structure and the relationship between industries in the national economy. The concept of industrial structure was firstly proposed by William Petty, which is applied to economic analysis by Hoffman empirical theory. There are several classifications of industrial structure, including three industrial classification, resource-intensive taxonomy, the international standard classification, and two major areas of the two layouts classification method. Now internationally accepted three industry classification is proposed by Fisher, the British economist, based on which, there have been many theories on the Industrial Structure, such as Petty Clark theory, Kuznets on per capita income, the leading industry-proliferation stages of economic growth and so on.Shift-share analysis method, proposed by the American economist Ke Limo, regards the regional economy changes as a dynamic process, and with reference to its large area, divides the total economy of the regional study period into three components: share deviation component N, structure and competitiveness of deviation component P deviation component D. This method aims at illustrating the result of economic changes of the regional study period, assessing the merits and competitiveness of regional industrial structure, and finding out advantageous sectors to adjust regional industrial structure, making it development conducive to economic growth.In this paper, focusing on the Guanzhong area, with reference to its area in Shaanxi Province, the study period 2001-2012 is divided into 2001-2004, 2005-2008, 2009-2012 three periods. Share deviation component, structural components and competitiveness deviation are calculated in the three periods. Guanzhong area of primary industry output value keeps increasing, but its proportion of GDP starts to decline and inter-industry competitiveness is less competitive and becomes weaker with time increasing.The first industry should be based on Northwest A&F University and Yangling agricultural industry development zone, to promote agricultural modernization, enhance the quality of agricultural products, and create independent brands of agricultural products with international standards. Improving rural infrastructure, encouraging establishment of various rural cooperatives, and improving risk resilience arenecessary.The second industry is off the pillar industry in the Guanzhong region. As a traditional industrial base, the Guanzhong region’s second industry has developed rapidly and its proportion rises from 62.065 billion in 2001 to 447.63 billion in 2012, which has an increase in 86.13 percent. Due to the large numbers of state-owned enterprises, it is clearly characterized by planned economy, which has an impact on secondary industry vitality. It is important to diminish large state-owned enterprises, improve the internal efficiency, combine technology industrial park and college, and improve the laboratory to the fast path applications. In the context of "Silk Road economic belt" bringing about the establishment of the Xi’an airport for the largest inland, it is necessary to expand the transportation network coverage, establish logistics information platform, and develop electronic logistics.Due to the vigorously development of the tertiary industry, the tertiary industry in Guanzhong area grows rapidly, and is higher than the average growth rate of the tertiary industry in Shaanxi Province, but the Guanzhong area tertiary industry is still mainly the traditional service-based. Guanzhong area has a long cultural history to develop tourism, take advantage of the establishment of the Xi’an airport, enhance international cooperation, develop international routes, tourist services and build advanced Business integration and cooperation projects. At the same time, it is central to develop new services such as financial services, insurance services and information technology service, improve monetary policy, and speed up financial reform and opening. Also, it is significant to introduce high-insured financial institutions and foreign enterprises to establish policy guidelines appropriate sound development of the financial industry, and promote the development of rural credit cooperatives, commercial banks and other private-owned financial institutions.