| Since China has reformed,urbanization was rapidly carried out,an average annual increase of 1.02%.Promoting new-type urbanization can promote the growth of China’s economy.However,People’s demand for life is increasing,if you want to solve these problems,improving the quality of urbanization is critical.Based on the urbanization theory,In the process of the urbanization process,it would encourage the rural surplus labor who surrounds urban employment in rural areas,so as to improve their family incomes and narrow the income gap between rural and urban residents,it will stimulate consumption in the long run.Enhancing the urbanization construction can effectively change the status of the urban-rural gap in China,boost consumer spending,improving consumption structure,to make China’s economy to achieve sustainable development.Taking Chongqing as an example to explore the effect of the urbanization on residents’ consumption in this article,and hailed it is a good way to stimulate consumption growing and it has a role and significant results.The main content of this article has three major sections,In the first part,I mainly study the current situation of Chongqing’s urbanization and try using support vector machines(SVM)predicting future development trend of urbanization in Chongqing,and it is an innovation point.In the second part,I use time series analysis method research on urbanization rate and the relationship between household consumption expenditure,through a study on the Co-integration Analysis and Grange causality test between relations of long-term stability and causality,and to build VAR models of urbanization and dynamic relationship between per capita consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents,and the impulse response function based on VAR model analysis and variance decomposition.The third part is about basic statistics on consumption structure of urban and rural residents,as well as urbanization and the associated degree of residents’ consumption structure,using Grey Relational Analysis(GRA)calculate the correlation coefficient.Summary conclusions and put forward reasonable proposals in the end.Chongqing urban and rural household consumption expenditure growth and the urbanization rate have long-term equilibrium relationship.Urbanization development can promoting rural consumer spending,and consumption expenditure of urban residents increasing can promote the development of urbanization.Long-term impact on per capita consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents in the process of urbanization,pulling effect on consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents tend to be stable,judging from the effect size of rural inhabitants than urban residents.Urbanization of rural resident’s consumption expenditure to consumption expenditure of urban residents made great contributions,and 2013 of urbanization development of rural residents’ consumption expenditure contributed to 56.61%,on the contribution of consumer spending of urban residents reached 23.09%.Change of consumption structure of urban and rural residents and the correlation of urbanization is consistent.Urbanization developing improved consumption structure of urban and rural residents,and the more effects of urbanization on the upgrading of the consumption structure of rural residents.Chongqing urbanization rate will reach 62.38%,exceed the average level of developing countries 60%.This has great significant on New-type urbanization in Chongqing,in order for the residents’ consumption level and consumption structure match the urbanization rate,improve the quality of new urbanization,upgraded consumption structure is of great significance.Based on this analysis,put forward the following proposals:First,expand consumer demand,promote the upgrading of the consumption structure;Second,to expand the rural residents’ income. |