Market Investigation And Load Forecasting Of Hebei Southern Power Grid

In a variety of energy sources,the production, transmission, distribution and consumptionof electricity are completed simultaneously.Electrical energy is too difficult to store,it has verystrict requirements on the system generated output which must follow the change of systemload to reach the real-time dynamic equilibrium.Since the new Century,China’s nationaleconomy developed rapidly,power load forecasting of electricity market environment hasbecome focus of attention of the power industry.There’re so many important influences toconsider,with inclusion of system operating characteristics, natural conditions, socialconditions and regional economic conditions,undergoing a series of mathematical calculationsby historical load value,in the case of certain accuracy and speed to decide the load in a periodof time or a specific moment of future.Control, operation and development planning of thepower system can’t carry on without load forecasting which is considered as the basis ofeffective functioning of the electricity market.Based on reviewing the overall economic development of South Hebei power region,toanalyze the factor affecting the development of the power industry,to researchdevelopment,the overall electricity consumption,power load characteristics and changingtrends of key industries which have greatest impact on Power Grid.To analyze characteristicsof the typical electricity users one by one,epecially the steel industry which is considered asthe pillar industries affected on electricity of South Power Grid, and predict the trends and theimpact on the grid in the future.At last,by researching the factors that influence powerload,summarizes factors that influence the power consumption and give the prediction andopinions.Conducting electricity market research can acquire more analysing and forecastingexperience,and improve the accuracy of prediction,provide guidance strengthen planning ofPower Grid.