| Among environmental issues of the21s t century, climate change is on top of the agenda. Carbon emission associated with energy system occupies a significant proportion, especially in emerging and rapidly developing economics like China. Recently, our domestic primary energy consumption grows at an annual rate that is far beyond that of GDP, which makes China the largest carbon dioxide emitter around the world. In order to investigate the emission reduction strategy of Chinese energy system, profound and quantitative studies concerning the development and evolution trend in conjunction with the internal mechanisms beforehand could be necessary, particularly when we hope to offer reference for the alternation of energy structure in future days as well as efforts to address the climate change issue. Specifically, we would like to contribute our thoughts regarding the deployment of carbon dioxide “end-of-pipe” treatment system-carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology.We research on the evolution of energy system from micro-dynamic and macro-structural perspectives, and via the application of generalized information entropy principle, we discuss the internal dynamic order and result in a new model that depicts the structural evolution of complex energy system. Basing on the fundamental theories, we develop new algorithms to solve the simulation realization problem of structural model evolution of complex energy system, and review the evolutionary trends of Chinese energy system previously and three distinct development portfolios in the future. |
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