The Impact Of Chinese Population Aging On Carbon Emissions

With the constant deterioration of the ecological environment, extreme weather occurs frequently.,the problem of global climate change that caused by the emissions of greenhouse gases is being has attracted attention all around the word. As the largest arbon emitter in the world, China is under enormous pressure of carbon reduction.At the same time, China’s population age structure is changing fast.Studies have pointed out that by 2050 China will have nearly a third of the elderly population. Population aging will affect consumption structure, labor force and industrial restructuring, and further have an impact on carbon emissions. Thus it is very important to study the impact of aging population on carbon emission and its regional differences on carbon emissons.This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of population aging on carbon emissions from the aspects of consumption structure,labor force,industrial structure,human capital investment.Thus analysis of the current situation of China’s population aging and carbon emissions.Our aging population is characterized by "large-scale elderly and aging fast","low level of economic development and old before getting rich","the average age of the elderly population gradually increased","regional differences in the elderly population and many rural elderly population".The panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 1999 to 2014 were firstly selected and the carbon emissions quantities were then evaluated by using 8 kinds of fossil energy consumption.We divide Chinese provinces into three regions geographically:eastern, central and western region..The study finally analyzed Chinese population aging’s effect on carbon emissions based on STIRPAT model,by using the method of panel cointegration analysis.The result shows that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between carbon emission,population, aging,per capita consumption levels,urbanization,energy consumption intensity,industrial structure. What’s more, the coefficients of the variables are positive.1%increase in the aging population will cause an increase in emissions of carbon 0.171%. Finally, there is significant regional differences in the impact of aging on carbon emissions:in the eastern part of the aging promote carbon emissions, while in other parts the aging will curb carbon emissions increase.