Research On The Population Prediction And Development Policy Of Taxi In Hailin

With the rapid development of social economy in Hailin City, the transportation frequency of urban residents in Hailin city has become increasingly active, and the requirement of the travel service quality and efficiency of urban residents is also getting higher and higher. In the case of underdeveloped bus system in hailin city, the development of taxi is very active due to taxi as a kind of "point to point" of high quality travel service traffic. However, some problems come into being, such as the demand and supply in market are out of control, poor service, the big gap between the existing business model and the management pattern advocated by industry,ete. In the background that cities sparkpluged public transportion piority, how to guide the taxi industry enter the orbit of healthy development and make the development of taxi in hailin be adapt to the actual situation of urban transportation, the development of quantity, regional economic and population and the demand of passenger transport is a subject to be solved urgently.First of all, the paper analyzed the current situation of social economy and the taxi, and put forward the existing problem. Based on survey datum, the travel characteristics of resident and the operation condition of taxi were got, considering socio-economic development demand, the taxi capability was predicted by the method of the supply and demand balance, total control, reasonable income and empty rate.Secondly, based on prediction results of the taxi capability and combined with district economy, population development, travel demand, etal. The taxi development strategy which includes the total amount control and model configuration, taxi rate mechanism, operation mode, management system, implementation and safeguard measures is formulated.Finally, according to the proposed taxi development policy in Hailin, the implementation plan of taxi development policy in Hailin was constructed from the vehicle release mode, the taxi business running model, driver access and exit mechanism, management right of management and property right transaction, the taxi business behavior, the taxi market management,ete. The corresponding supporting facilities which includes the bus stops, LPG stations, comprehensive service facilities and information management system was proposed; it was provided the safeguard for implementing the strategic plan from the law, leadership organization, fiscal policy and planning, etc.