China’s Real Estate Listing Corporation Early Warning Of Financial Crisis

Research on financial crisis early warning of listing Corporation is currently a hotresearch topic at home and abroad, the research on financial crisis early warning and for aspecific industry is relatively not too much. The real estate industry is the pillar industry inChina, and our real estate listing Corporation general asset liability ratio is very high, thedemand for funds, coupled with the national macro policy control of the real estateindustry has become more and more severe, the financial risk of real estate enterprises toincrease, easily lead to financial crisis. Therefore, this paper starts from the real estateindustry, carry on financial crisis early warning research, through the establishmentof financial crisis early warning model is more targeted and more accurate predictions,help the real estate industry is the financial crisis early warning and timely.This paper studies the literature at home and abroad on the financial crisis earlywarning, combined with the basic characteristics of the real estate industry, analyzes9factors associated with the enterprise into financial crisis, and from the9aspects,choosing the variables, through statistical analysis and screening of these variables, thus toconstruct the model, to carry out research on early warning of financial crisis on China’sreal estate listing Corporation.The main research contents are divided into the following five parts:The first part is the introduction, this part discusses the background and significanceof the study on financial crisis early warning of real estate, summarizes the domestic andforeign research results, proposes this article research mentality and the technical route.The second part theoretical analysis this part puts forward the study object of thisarticle in the foundation carries on the elaboration to the early warning theory, and thoughelaborating the basic concepts related to the financial crisis, the9factors related tofinancial crisis, puts forward the research hypothesis in these factors. The third part study design and index selection this part according to the hypothesis,we select49indicators, through the significant test, select significant variables. The factoranalysis of these indicators, to extract the principal factor.To construct this part constructs the regression model and a short Logistic regressionmodel with a long logistic fourth part model, and analyzes the research results of strictinspection and detailed.The fifth part conclusion and deficiency, this part summarizes the findings of thisempirical research, to clarify the deficiencies of this paper, and the real estate listingCorporation financial crisis early warning of future.