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Related Internal Space Economic Analysis And Prediction Of Shenyang Industrial Economic Growth

Posted on:2014-05-17Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y WangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2269330425969176Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since2003, the national strategy implementation of revitalizing the northeast old industrialbase, how to take measures to promote the northeast industry became the focus of the study ofscholars. As the key area of northeast old industrial base, with a series of features of economicgrowth of Shenyang economic zone industry, has important reference value and significance.Firstly, this paper introduces the spatial correlation theory, including the spatial weight matrixand spatial autocorrelation theory, then reference the concept and principle of spatial paneldata model. Through the empirical analysis of Shenyang Economic Zone, spatialautocorrelation and industrial economic integration process, based on the spatial panel datamodel, get the regional economic development model based on considering the spatialcorrelation, in-depth analysis and explain the development characteristics of the regionalindustrial economy, and gives the analysis and prediction results. The relevant conclusions areas follows:(1) There was a significant positive correlation of Shenyang Economic Zone globalspace, through the high and low clustering Z score, most of the Shenyang economic zonebelongs to high concentration, describing the process of industrial economicintegration,Shenyang economic zone has begun to take shape, but the degree of integration isnot obvious, there is still much more room for improvement.(2) The local spatial autocorrelation of Shenyang Economic Zone result shows thatagglomeration in space, and the spatial agglomeration of different patterns appears. Carefulanalysis of regional spatial agglomeration is helpful to the understanding of the size of theregional industrial economic development.(3) Through regression model is helpful to the analysis of industrial economic growthcharacteristics of each region, this feature is useful for us to put forward countermeasures andsuggestions on the development of industrial economy, it plays a significant role in thevarious regions of the industrial economic development.(4) Predicted by all regions of Shenyang Economic Zone industrial output in2012, we cananalyze the characteristics of the regional industrial economic growth.The industrial economyappears to drop considerably possibility analysis of causes and industrial economic growth ofa smaller area, put forward specific proposals, the prevention of industrial economy to declinefurther. Finally, according to the conclusions of the empirical analysis, we propose targetedmeasures and suggestions. First of all, the government should raise great importance toindustrial economy in different areas, focus on the development of industrial economy.Secondly, make reasonable adjustment of variable input ratio, exploring diverse elements topromote the development of industrial economy. Third, enhance the capability of independentinnovation, research and development of industrial technology, it is important to change theindustrial economic development scale. Finally, to speed up the implementation of theShenyang economic zone of industrial economic integration, we should improve the overallcompetitiveness of Shenyang economic zone. This is important for helping to enhanceShenyang economic zone of industrial economy in the domestic and internationalcompetitiveness.
Keywords/Search Tags:Shenyang economic zone, Spatial autocorrelation, Spatial panel data, Geographically Weighted Regression
PDF Full Text Request
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