| With the improvement of living standards, more and more scholars interest theresearch of agricultural products both at home and abroad. But you can find thatvegetables are not always less expensive and abundance fresh from a food market. Soin my opinion the key to this question lies in overcoming profit sharing in the supplychain. The right profit sharing can make the supply chain more stable and it also canpopularize it. As our research when the supply chain has made, the main cooperationwould depend on the orders between farmers and supermarkets. Then the order is theimportant factors to the supply chain. So when the supply chain has being made, thekey to this question would be forecasting demand. So this paper will research on bothsides: one sides is the supply and demand, another is for the profit sharing in thesupply chain.In the research of supply and demand I use the real date of Kunming for thestudy. So I use the case study method, combined with cobweb model and herdbehavioral model. Then I build a new model for forecasting demand. And theprediction of the model is very good.In the research of profit sharing in the supply chain, I analysis the disadvantagesof the supply chain at the present, firstly. Then I build a model and get a conclusionthat the key distribution of benefits embodied in agricultural products prices.At last I take the real date into both models. Show how the model works. Afterthe calculating, the accuracy was87.19%in the predicting model. And the point ofprofit sharing will standing [0.16，2.0]. And I get a number which shows us the maxdistance for the cooperation by the calculating. |
