China is a great agricultural developing country accompanied with large growthin economic and obvious duel structure. In China, the problems of economicaldevelopment in urban area and farmers’ income growth are facing serious challengeand chances. After the Central Document No.1issued in2004, monetary policy andfinancial institutions loan more money for agriculture and rural economicdevelopment, then the demand of agricultural debt grows rapidly. How to explain theagricultural policy finance supporting agriculture contribution, and how to evaluatethe implementation of agricultural policy finance of national agriculture policy effect,become great significance to research. According to find the inherent link to policy offinancial support for agriculture and the county economic development, theconclusions may provide an explanation, which will help to illustrate the evaluation ofagricultural policy financial support in agricultural contribution.Through to the backward areas of agricultural policy finance supportingagriculture is analyzed, by adding with monetary fund of county economy afterseveral changes as the research object, the analysis of this article shows that theanalysis tool for an evaluation of its policy of credit of our country economy microunits of an empirical evidence and the agricultural policy financial institution. Thispaper will discuss the content is divided into five chapters, the first, second chapter isthe theoretical part, the first chapter mainly introduces the background, purpose andsignificance of the topic, discourse structure, theoretical basis and research methodsand innovation. The second chapter is the literature review, review and new progressof the theory of dynamic research at home and abroad. The third chapter hypothesisand model aspects supporting role, theoretical basis, using the analytical toolsintroduced the derivation of the model, data sources and research methods. The fourthchapter is empirical research data and by the measurement method to verify the model,through empirical research on the role of metrology tools of agricultural policy finance supporting agriculture. The fifth chapter explains the conclusions of this paper,problems and enlightenment, do suggest a step research and further study isinsufficient and enlightenment.Through the analysis of the Input-output model and the data validation, thispaper draws the following conclusions: there is a positive correlation betweenmultiple variables of the first agricultural policy finance, credit and the economy ofCheng Gong County, the agricultural policy finance money variables showed certainregulation fluctuations in Cheng Gong County of other economic variables. Second,found in three years time series analysis through the establishment of the countyagricultural policy financial input-output table, the agricultural policy financialsupport for grain production in Cheng Gong County; land use, industrial outputfinancial support effect. Third, through regression analysis, there is a linearcorrelation between the agricultural policy finance money on Cheng Gong Countyrural land prices, characteristics of agricultural products output, the relationship canbe found that regulation of financial support to agriculture and the level of economicvariables in the presence of two-way change.The innovation of this paper is that through the actual application specificchanges in form of input-output model, the agricultural policy financial institution ofour economy the most microcosmic administrative units of the action can bemeasured, which provides a new method for agricultural development banks and theeconomy change study itself. The shortcoming of this paper is the precondition ofsetting data with incomplete assumption, because of the difficulty in obtaining themonthly data, data accuracy can not completely meet the real requirements of theresults lead to a distortion, secondly because of agricultural policy credit support foragriculture has been for a long time, but the study object is the change of policyadjustment after2007, when the county, therefore there is a part of the role ofagriculture has occurred, the measurement results may not be absolute interpretationvariation relationship.Policy implications are presented in this article are: first, through monetarypolicy to guide the support of characteristic agricultural industrial development to development of county economy and promote the development of sustainableagriculture and industry characteristics, the national second, the agricultural policyfinance should adopt positive currency risks are controllable input regulation ofagricultural production, agricultural production growth through the city to meet thedemand of to increase the income of farmers, and promote the development of ruralconsumption market, third, fiscal transfer payment function should be strengthened inthe production and technology of agricultural products, to make up for lack of creditfunds. |