The Dalian City Dominant Industry Selection And Analysis Based On DEA And Factor Analysis Method

In2010, the central economic working conference puts forward that the adjustment of economic structure should be put as the key to speed up the transformation of the mode of economic development. The growth of modern economy is essentially the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure continuously, and the industrial structure adjustment manifests from one or several leading industries to one or several other industries, namely the replacement of leading industry. For a region, the choice of dominant industry and breed is of vital importance. Dominant industry is the core and pillar of the region economy development, how to choose and cultivate the regional leading industry has become an important part of the economic development strategy and industrial policy, directly affect the future development direction of regional economy. Since reforming and opening, Dalian30years of rapid development, has already entered the late stage of industrialization, industrial structure adjustment and upgrading is facing many problems, the industrial structure internal contradictions began to appear, industrial development is restricted by resources and environment, so how to choose and cultivate Dalian present leading industry, is not only beneficial to overall economic structure optimization and upgrading, but also can make full use of the limited resources in the region, cultivate characteristic industry, to improve the core competitiveness of the Dalian economy.Dalian as the Northeast’s most important manufacturing base and port city, plays an important demonstration effect and guiding role in the revitalization of northeast old industrial base. This paper analyses synthetically the industry data of Dalian for the10consecutive years based on DEA (data envelopment analysis) and factor analysis methods, summarizes that the present state of industrial dominant industry of Dalian are petroleum tar and fuel products, communications equipment manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, textile and apparel manufacturing and the leading industry of the services are information transmission, computer services and software industry, finance and insurance industry, modern logistics industry.The paper is mainly devided into the following five parts:The first chapter is the introduction. This part introduces the research background, literature review, the paper structure arrangement and innovation and shortcomings.The second chapter mainly introduces the industry and dominant industry theory. Detailed, this section introduces the concept of industry and industrial structure, the meaning and characteristics of dominant industry, industrial structure related theory, industrial structure adjustment theory, the theory of choosing leading industry benchmark, the main research method of the leading industry.The third chapter analyses the Dalian economic and industry present condition. First of all, this portion introduces the current situation of Dalian economy and industrial structure evolution history; then, analyses present three industry structure status of Dalian; finally, analyses the problems existing in the industrial structure of Dalian.Through the empirical analysis, the fourth chapter determines the leading industry of Dalian. Firstlly, evaluate the theory of leading industry and select the method presented in this paper; then, evaluate the10industrial and7service industry by using DEA model and factor analysis methods. The main data comes from2001-2010Dalian statistical yearbook, the selected industrial evaluation index is gross industrial output value, annual average number of all employees, annual average balance of net fixed assets, the main business cost, profit tax amount; the selected evaluation index of service industry includes industrial added value, business surplus, labor remuneration, the production net tax, the depreciation of fixed assets; finally, choose the4industrial leading industry and3services leading industry by combining the two methods results.The fifth chapter is conclusion and policy suggestion. The main content contains the establishment of7leading industry of Dalian; the present problems of industrial structure:weak innovation in industrial internal technical, lack of high and new technology industrial support; scattered service industry, weak overall competition ability, and the tertiary industry in the industrial structure of the low proportion. In the end,the paper puts forward the relevant policy recommendations.