| In recent years, the rapid development of high-speed railway has played a positiverole in moderating the high pressure of transport and promoting the economy of thecities nearby, On the other side, the high speed railway also exerted great impact on theair transport industry. By far, the high-speed railway has just built. How will thehigh-speed railway’s large-scale, comprehensive access to operations impact on theaviation enterprises? The paper studied the example abroad, and analysed how will thefactors including travelling distance, income, travel purpose and so on, impact on thesharing ratio of railway and airplane.The paper first analysed the technology characters of high-speed railway andairplane, and used the related data home and abroad to analysis the factors influence thecompetition and complementary between high-speed and airplane. Then the authordiscussed the value of time theory and proved the rationality of using disaggregatebehavioral model to predict sharing ratio. Then the author use shanghai to Beijing as anexample, deeply discussed how will different factors influence the sharing ratio ofrailway and airplane. Finally, the author proposed recommendations on thedevelopment of high-speed railway and civil aviation. |
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