Font Size: a A A

An Empirical Analysis Of The Relationship Between The Industrial Structure Evolution And Economic Growth

Posted on:2013-03-18Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:G CaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2249330392950773Subject:Regional Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The development of Countries or regions has proved that economic developmenton one hand is increase of economy, on the other hand is the development of theindustrial structure accompanied by with economic growth. Generally speaking, theoverall growth depends largely on the industry structure in the process of economicdevelopment. Under certain conditions, the change of economic structure is the keydriving force, which plays a key role to promote the sustainable economic growth. therelationship between the industry structure and economic growth theory have beendone a lot of theory and empirical studies by domestic And foreign scholars.This paper analyzes the Gansu and14cities’ industrial structure evolution, the levelof economic development history and its current situation by constructing the relativedevelopment rate, per capita GDP and non-agricultural industries proportion indicatorsto measure around all over the different city’s industrial structure and economicdevelopment level based on the theory of relationship between economic growth andindustrial structure. According to the analysis of results, we divide the14different citiesof Gansu into four kinds of economic development state types, we calculate the fourkinds economic development state by using the way of bi-logarithm linear regressionbased on the date of14cities’ GDP, three different industries output value, and obtainoutput elasticity of the three industries. The empirical analysis shows: differentindustrial structure has different contributions on the economic growth; The industrialstructure of Lanzhou has the highest level among the cities, which economic growthmainly come from the second industry and the third industrial, and the outputelasticity is approximately the same, the industrialization process has been in maturestage of industrialization;The economic development of Jiayuguan, Jinchang, Jiuquan and Qingyang that hasrich mineral resources depends heavily on its second industry.however, the secondindustry output elasticity is still far higher than the first and third industry, The secondindustry’s high proportion has no breakthrough industrial structure of imbalancecritical point, in the short term, the economic growth will still rely mainly on the second industry;Zhangye, WuWei, Tianshui and Pingliang have the common features that thefirst、the second industry and the proportion of the output elasticity is higher, whichshows that the first industry developing provide strong power for fast economicgrowth, industrialization process is into a rapid rise period;Dingxi, Longnan, Linxia andGannan has common characteristic that the proportion of the second industry and thesecond industrial output elasticity is very low and the proportion of the first industry ishigh, which shows that the process of industrialization is slow and is still in the initialstage.Finally, we put forward relevant policy Suggestions about the adjustment of industrialstructure according to the empirical results and conclusions.
Keywords/Search Tags:Industrial structure, Economic growth, Double logarithmic regressionmodel
PDF Full Text Request
Related items