Fluctuations In The Price Of Pork In China Influencing Factors And Research On The Effects

The pork market prices, as an important indicator,reflect the pork productionand consumption, its fluctuations follow certain rules. In the role of market supplyand demand, China's pork prices showed cyclical fluctuations. In recent years, thepork price volatility cycle grew, and the ups and downs of the fluctuations increase,is not only a tremendous impact to the farming enterprise and pig farmers, but alsomacroeconomic policies and residents' living consumption. Therefore, to analysisthe causes of the price fluctuations of pork, to explore the inherent law of itsvolatility and its influencing factors, given a very important practical significancefor the stability of China's pork production, which can increase the output value ofanimal husbandry and promote the development of agriculture and the nationaleconomy as a whole.Chinese pork production and consumption are the highest in the world,changes in pork prices is closely related with people's lives. Despite there aremany analysis and studies related to the price of pork, but systematic analysis ofresearch of pork price volatility characteristics, causes and market effects is stillrare. Therefore, this study starts with the volatility characteristics of the price ofpork then, analysis of the Causes. using multiple regression to analysis the factorsaffecting price volatility of pork, and systematic analysis the effect of thefluctuations in the price of pork, and on this basis, policy proposals to provide agood theoretical guidance for the healthy and orderly development of the pigindustry.The first section describes the research background and significance,introducing the contents, the research objectives and research methods; the secondpart of study based on the economic theory and previous literature which analyzethe price fluctuations; The third part of study reviews China's pork pricefluctuations history, and analyze the fluctuation mainly from time andgeographical point changes. Second to analyze the trends and characteristics offluctuation with X12seasonal adjustment and the H-P filter method. The forth partof study analyze the affecting factors of China's pork price changes, and find thecauses and problems of the2011pork price volatility. The fifth Part will indicatethe effect of fluctuations in the price of pork on the part of economic agents,combination which relevant data. The sixth part is combined with the previousanalysis, analyze the relevant policies of the pork price regulation, bring up tocritical and feasible measures and recommendations to sharp fluctuations suppressthe price of pork.