The Research Of Economic Adaptability Assessment And Strategy Of Coastal Areas In Jiangsu Province

Under the background of the National Coastal Development Strategy, to Jiangsu, a major province of economy and telecommunications, there exists an issue that how conduct the good interactive relation between the development of economy and the telecommunications industry in coastal area.This article studied the relationship between the telecommunications industry and economic development of the coastal area in Jiangsu province. And base on it, the Adaptability Evaluation Index System of telecommunications industry has been established, with which this article analyzed the adaptability of the current development of telecommunications industry and the regional economy of the coastal area in Jiangsu province.This article has made a summary of the studies about the relationship between telecommunications industry and regional economy first. And then, it analyzed the development situation of telecommunications industry and regional economy of the coastal area in Jiangsu province. In the correlation research, the time series data of the telecommunications industry and GDP of the coastal area in Jiangsu province was used to make quantitative analysis. On the basis of the co-integration analysis, the vector error correction model was established to study the causality between the telecommunications industry and regional economy. And the impulse response function and variance decomposition were used to make further study of the telecommunications industry and regional economy. On the basis of the correlation research, in this article, Adaptability Evaluation Index System was established to evaluate the adaptability from three aspects of coordinated development, potential balance and resources allocation efficient. Then the data of Jiangsu's 13 cities in 2009 and the multi-index comprehensive evaluation were used to analyze coordinated development index, and DEA model was used to analyze the potential balance index and resources allocation efficient index of the coastal area. In the end, this article made the analysis of causes and presented corresponding strategies.At present, the telecommunications industry of the coastal area in Jiangsu has not promoted the regional economy greatly, but in the long run, it will make a big promotion. Because the level of economic development in the coastal area in Jiangsu is lower, the regional economy has not promoted the telecommunication industry greatly. The coordinated development index of the telecommunications industry and the economy of the coastal area in Jiangsu province is lower, however, the potential balance index and the resources allocation efficient index are high, which indicates that supply and demand matches well and the resources allocation efficiency is high in the telecommunications industry of this region. The reason is that the coastal development bought new development opportunities to the coastal area in Jiangsu in 2009, but the situation of coordinated development of the telecommunication industry and regional economy hasn't formed in a short period.