China's Population Policy Studies, Adjustment And Family Fertility Desire

In 1990's, our country's fertility rate level has broken the continuously increasing situation in the middle and late 1980s and a substantive drop appeared and kept under replacing level, which has aroused some scholar's interest."Is the lower fertility rate, the better?", is still a hot spot which is widely discussed without reaching a decision. The fertility rate is tightly linked with the population policy, so it has caused an argument about the population policy adjustment in the population educational field.The goal of the population policy research is to answer the question: Is the population policy needs to be adjusted or not, and why? If it needs to be adjusted, how to adjust it and to such level should it be adjusted. This is an important topic, in order to answer this question, we cannot only depend on the perceptual understanding, but also depend on the rational analysis.Drawing references from the predecessors'studies, the writer utilizes"the birth wish"target to obverse and study the distance between public's birth wish and the birth policy. The birth wish is an important variable which influences actual birth level and is the main basis of the scientific population policyConducting the research on wish birth level in certain period on the basis of the birth wish investigation data is of vital significance to the scientific formulation of population plan. China has to formulate the birth-limit policy at present and the most basic reason lies in: So far there is still a disparity between general population's birth wish and the national policy. But investigations and researchs show that this disparity is getting smaller and smaller, particularly in urban areas and developed countryside areas.This disparity is an important basis to the formulation of population policy. If the disparity were small, then it showed that population policy had not successfully controlled people's birth and the fertility rate wouldn't have the big resilience without the birth-limit policy. Otherwise, the present birth policy must be carried out continually. No matter how to adjust the population policy, we should take the replacing level as the critical point and make sure that the birth level is nearby the replacing level so that our country can realize the sustainable development of population.Why does this article main research present birth policy need to adjust the question. Centered on this argument, this article separately to prove: First, the family birth wish has the drop tendency, this is under the society, the economical big environment, forces under the implementation in the birth control policy, displayed has little lived, the eugenics birth wish. Second, in the present situation, populace's wish birth level, the actual birth level and the policy birth level difference is not big, more importantly all in low birth level 1.8--2.2 scopes. Third, theoretically, the population development regularity showed that, people's birth wish reduces along with the economical development. Fourth, the overseas experience instructs also to show that, reduces the birth level with the control birth policy is feasible, but for a long time will form the low birth level will enhance, the solution population negative growth question will be very difficult. The many national serious lesson warns us, do not have to wait till the wish birth level to fall to the very low situation in formulates the encouragement population growth policy again. These from variously explained: Relaxes the present birth policy is feasible. Finally summarized the population policy adjustment several plans, and selects the feasible plan, draws the conclusion, puts forward the proposal. This article difficulty lies in the servants unstable birth wish data to make the basis, the research birth policy adjustment question. Occupying of the innovation to from the live analysis, the theory basis, the experience instructs these aspects to prove the population policy to have to adjust. Why is this article key point solves needs to adjust the present population policy the question, and draws the conclusion: Must relax the present birth policy around the population baby boom.