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Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Of Real Estate Investment Risk-based Decision-making

Posted on:2011-08-01Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X L GuanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2199360302498593Subject:Project management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The full process of investment for assets are probed and analyzed, this dissertation consists of five chapters, in which the question on feasibility research, financial analysis, investment environment, investment risk, comprehensive assessment are studied systematically and deeply, and as well as the calculation model of real estate project investment decision scheme optimum seeking is set up in theory principle of using applied mathematics, analyzing linearly etc.Firstly, the comprehensive review of investment decision making on assets is given in this paper, the state of development of domestic and international real estate trade at present are analyzed, initial analysis to the influence factor of the development item of the real estate are carried on. The course of project feasibility research of the real estate is described synthetically. It is pointed out that financial result, investment environment and investment risk are the main factor of the investment decision of the real estate. The system of evaluation index is established separately.Secondly, the limitation of the traditional appraisal method is studied and analyzed in this thesis. Aim at the feature of the investment project of the real estate, fuzzy mathematics principle and analytic hierarchy process are used to analysis the comprehensive evaluation assessment, and the comprehensive appraisal method of fuzzy and analytic hierarchy process is set up in the construction of the decision model of scheme optimum seeking in real estate. This model gives consideration to the factors of determining the nature and two respects in ration on the basis of fuzzy theory, appraising the influence factor index definitely according to the different levels of the evaluation index, confirming the weight through the analytic approach of the level, forming the model of thinking synthetically, carry on the comprehensive appraisal of the fuzzy and analytic hierarchy process. The appraisal result of guaranteeing the index is further scientific, practical, reliable.Finally, the validity and practicability of the model is verified through the instance in this paper.With compare in analysis, it is adopt fuzzy and analytic hierarchy process comprehensive method of appraisal building investment project of the real estate appraisal of scheme feasible in this paper, and this method is applied in the real investment project. Fuzzy and analytic hierarchy process comprehensive evaluation assessment is founded in the nature with fuzzy nature experience, suggestion and view index, taking with ration to analyze, thus it can guarantee the science of the conclusion. The method analyzes and quantifies some qualitative and fuzzy indexes, such as experience, opinion and viewpoint. To ensure reasonability of conclusion, the scheme must be constructed on science foundation because the method can deal with uncertainty, it is very suitable to complex and large-scale investment project and reference to investment decision.
Keywords/Search Tags:investment decision of real estate, scheme optimum seeking, fuzzy and analytic hierarchy process method, comprehensive assessment
PDF Full Text Request
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