Research On The Risk Chain Of Enterprise

Since "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit" was published in 1921, the research about risk has received the greatly attention of the scholars. They conducted extensive research on risk and have obtained the great accomplishments. With the development of economy globalization, the environment of production management has changed greatly, the enterprise risk presents the diversification, the complication and the frequency in characteristic. Enterprises are faced with greater challenges. In 1990s, financial crisis frequently has occurred, people realized that risk can transfer from one enterprise to other enterprises, the scholars try to set up models to analysis the law of risk in conduction. From now on, the research about risk of conduction, especially risk chain, is a few, and these researches are developing.The thesis sets up a model to analysis the risk resource. The risk resource exists objective and it maintains relative stable situation. It has energy in the risk energy field. When the energy become larger, the probability of risk is lower. When the energy of the risk resource is maximum, risk resource will release energy and reformulate the other risk resource that is maintain relative stable situation too. The system is composed by risk resource and the risk energy field. According to the principle of system theory, the thesis analysis the relations between risk and risk resource. The system remains energy balance. When the balance is destroyed, risk fields will adjust itself by releasing energy. The energy of risk resource is changed, and some of risk resources changed to others that cause the greatly fluctuation. Chain of risk reactions are like domino chain reactions. At last,the system arrives at new banance and risk chain is formed at this process. There is much complexity, regularity, dynamic, and order in the risk chain. According to analyzing risk chain, it reveals the risk effect: amplification, conduction and promoting. In order to analyzing the law of risk chain, it sets up Mar model. Based on the law of risk chain, it suggests controlling risk resources strategy, the risk separated strategy, forewarning strategy and immunity strategy. They controls effectively the risk from the new angle. Finally it provides theories and experiences for the enterprise risk management by the risk chain of theoretical and empirical analysis.