Situation Prediction Of Supply And Demand Of Coal Resources And The Development Countermeasure In The Provinces Of Liaoning, Jilin And Heilongjiang In Northeast China

The energy is an important material resource of existence, the economy development, the society progress and the modern civilization. It is an important strategic supply relating to the national economy and national defense safety. In China, including northeast three provinces, the consumption of coal resources composes of the majority energy consumption, so the coal resources have had the prominent position in modernization. In the modern world with economy developing rapidly, economy and society have taken place many revolutionary varieties, consumption and production of coal resources will also take place the homologous variety. Northeast three provinces, as the base place of industry, which was cosmically invested by our country, will be greatly affected by the variety of consumption and production of coal resources. Therefore, scientific forecast of demand and supply of coal resources, analysis on the situation of demand and supply of coal resouces in northeast three provinces, have the important meaning for establishing right coal resources development programs and promoting fast economy development of northeast three provinces, and the realization of the strategic target of our country.Based on the analysis on the general suituation of coal resources, reserves, output, consumption and the situation of demand and supply of coal resources of northeast three provinces, this text forecasts the amount of demand and supply of coal resources by adopting the method of energy consumption per 10,000 GDP and grey model, analyses the situation of demand and supply of coal resources in 2015, puts forward the development projects.The first, the text makes a deep analysis on the general suituation of coal resources, reserves, potential, output, consumption, and the amount of consumption and production in past ten years of northeast three provinces, and analyses the variety trend of demand and supply, and summarizes the situation of demand and supply of coal resources, and finds out the reasons of the shortage of supply.The second, this text forecasts the amount of demand and supply of coal resources by adopting the method of energy consumption per 10,000 GDP and grey model, and analyses the variety trend of demand and supply of northeast three provinces based on the result of the forecast. According to factors of optimality of energy structure and decline of the energy consumption per 10,000 GDP by advanced technology and adjustment industry structure, educes the amount of demand of coal resources in 2015 of northeast three provinces.The third, the text forecasts the amount of supply of coal resources according to the 11th five-year plan for national coal industry and the situation of coal resources of northeast three provinces, analyses the situation of demand and supply of coal resources in 2015 based on the result of the forecast, brings forward the problem of disharmony between demand and supply, analyses the guarantee of the coal resources at present.At last, combining with the theories of circular economy and sustainable development and the situation of northeast three provinces, the text puts forward the actual development countermeasures:⑴accelerating the prospecting, enhancing the capability of supply;⑵improving the efficiency of coal resources utilization, controlling the waste of coal resources;⑶optimizing the energy structure, developing new energy and reproducible energy;⑷improving macroscopical economy system, building coal resources market system;⑸developing the cooperation between countries or provinces, utilizing"two markets"and"two resources";⑹attaching importance to reserve of coal resources, insuring the security of coal resources.