The Study On The Real Estate Bubble's Transmission Precaution And Controlling System Of China

With the development of real estate system reform and the process of urbanization, China's real estate industry has improved a lot recently, the real estate market has shown prosperous situation both in supply and demand. Investment in real estate exploitation will take larger proportion in capital assets investment. The prices of the commodities of real estate are increasing. Experts from domestic and abroad have made many discussions about rationality of increasing prices.At the beginning, we make a summary about the theories of bubbling economy, on the basis of practical traits of China's real estate bubble, we apply several relevant index to analyze the current situation of China's real estate bubble from different aspects and make a conclusion in the end. Then we study the transmission, diffusion and inner inflation mechanisms through macroscopical and microcosmic analytical methods, the results has provided the foundation of precaution and restraint of real estate bubble. In the following part, we design the precaution index system of China's real estate bubble after researching related data, then compute the general precaution index and verify its validity by historical data. At last, according the chaotic situation of China's real estate market, we use chaos controlling theory of system dynamics as a tool to control real estate bubble and put forward several relevant governmental suggestions.