Xinjiang Low-carbon Economic Development Scenario Analysis And Counter Measures

At present, the world of countries is facing two questions: climate warming and economic development. The intersection of these two problems is the low-carbon development; research on low-carbon economy will inevitably have a certain academic value and practical value. This paper analyzes the status and causes of a low carbon economy in Xinjiang, and predicts the next 10 years Xinjiang carbon dioxide emissions trends.The analysis showed that: the most important factor in Xinjiang carbon emissions is energy production, followed by the proportion of tertiary industry. Xinjiang carbon emissions and GDP are sharply increased, but their growth directions are the opposite. One is to accelerate development, while the other is the slow development.By forecasting, if we are to achieve the Xinjiang low carbon development, the Xinjiang must give top priority to the rapid economic development. By improving the quality of the economical development and enhancing economic low carbonization ability, thus we can realize low carbon development in Xinjiang.In Xinjiang, a low-carbon development strategy is to strengthen the Government's main responsibility, adjust and optimize the energy structure and industrial structure of Xinjiang, and actively promote low carbon living. And these policies should be in a prominent position to emphasize.Evaluation of low carbon development adopted multiples method, i.e. carbon emissions growth multiples divided by GDP growth rates. By 2020, Xinjiang carbon emissions are divided into three kinds of carbon emissions situation: inertial scene mode, low carbon scene mode and compulsory low carbon scene mode. Among them, Xinjiang chosen low carbon scene mode is more appropriate.This paper is divided into four parts altogether:The first part is a low carbon economy of domestic and foreign relevant definition and connotation of the statement. According to the actual situation of economic and social development of Xinjiang, this paper analyzes the connotation of low carbon development.The second part analyzed the present situation and Xinjiang carbon emissions targets. Using Chinese and Xinjiang statistical yearbook analyze Xinjiang 2000 and 2010 total carbon emissions and related factors and development trend, and find out the relevant laws.The third part analyzed Xinjiang 2000 and 2010 total carbon emissions, related factors and development trend, finds out the relevant laws. This paper using time series model predicted the next 10 years in Xinjiang strength of carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP development trend. Use a few policy indexes, this paper forecasted Xinjiang three different development modes of GDP growth situation, and determined the next 10 years Xinjiang three scene mode emissions targets.The fourth part is according to the forecast results, analysis the Xinjiang low carbon development tendency, and find out the main problems and influencing factors. Based on the Xinjiang low carbon development forecast of Xinjiang, this paper formulate low carbon economy development countermeasures.This paper does not further research of regional carbon emissions " crowding out effect", and not further study of carbon emissions reduction effect. In low carbon study, this paper use total carbon emissions, is in economy development of Xinjiang when the fuel emissions.