| At present, it becomes urgent to promote to change the mode of economic development. Enhancing the innovation ability of enterprises' independent technological is the important way to change the mode of economic development. However, independent technological innovation is a risk. Correct recognition of risk factors are good to control and management the risk, to build an innovation-oriented country, to promote economic development.On the basis of extensive absorption and reference to existing research resultant from the domestic and foreign, this paper ties closely with actual condition of China's automobile industry independent technological innovation risk, in line with effectiveness, systematic, practicability and reliability principle, pay attention to the policy of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, theoretical analysis and empirical research, combination of case analysis and investigation questionnaire, research deeply the risk factors of China's automobile industry independent technological innovation, and on this basis summed up the key factors, had done the empirical study.On the basis of independent innovation and technological innovation, this paper defined independent technological innovation. And then according to the research condition from the domestic and foreign, from the common enterprises'risk factors to automobile industry its own risk factors, considered the status of China's automobile industry technology innovation risk, summarized the risk factors of automobile industry independent technological innovation, designed the questionnaire. We used factor analysis and principal component analysis to the questionnaire result and got five key factors. We explained the five key factors, redefined the five factors. We established neural network model and trained, on the basis of trained model, forecasted the risk. Finally we gave the management countermeasures to automobile industry independent technological innovation risk. |
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