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The Quantification Research Of Tourism And Connection Industrial In Economic Growth

Posted on:2011-02-25Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S L ZhouFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189330332485283Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Tourism is a comprehensive industry. It has a major impact on economic, social, environmental, ecological and other aspects. After nearly three decades of development, tourism in the national economy becomes more and more important,and its economic impact is increasingly significant. And the same as other industries, Their development services for the entire national economic progress. Economic progress is an overall complex process which is composed of economic growth, economic structural transformation and improvement of economic level. Articles focus of the study is to explore the status of tourism in national economy, the degree of connection with other industries.By Excel2003,the article calculates the direct consumption coefficient, the total input coefficient, Influence coefficients and sensitivity coefficients,and obtain the degree of correlation between them.The article study on the economic impact of tourism in the nationwide,and analysis on the relationship of domestic tourism developments and economic growth. The article takes domestic tourism income as an explained variable, gross domestic product (GDP) and other economic index as explanatory variables, and analyze the relationship between them systematicly. By Eviews 5.0, the article do VAR model,analyze tourism and economic growth by the cointegration, to find whether maintain long-term stable dynamic equilibrium relationship between the two. After determining the number of cointegration relations, the article do the vector autoregressive error correction (VEC) model.The result indicates that economic growth can promote tourism development. However, development of tourism can't contribute to economic growth.There is strong industry association and industry influence among tourism and other industries in the national economy.The impact on national economic development is more than the average level of the national economy sector,so that it has a big role in promoting national economic development.The degree of induction in the national economy is lower than the average level of nationaleconomic sectors,so that it has a little effect on stimulating the national economy.Then the article proposes a number of policy recommendations to promote tourism development and economic growth, to develop our tourism industry and the rapid growth of the national economy.
Keywords/Search Tags:Tourism, Tourism Impact on Economic, VAR Model, Industrial Relationshi
PDF Full Text Request
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