| With China’s economic growth and urbanization, new environmental problemscontinually appeared in recent years, such as Low-carbon life, P.M2.5, haze and otherenvironment-related topics. they not only occupied the headlines of medias, butgradually affect the country’s economic development philosophy, the standard ofpolicies and the public’s standard of living philosophy. Economic experts point out thatthe problems of lacking ecological resources and the environment bottleneck would bethe most important factors which will hinder China’s economic and social developmentin the next10-20years. Especially fossil energy consumption and carbon dioxideemissions will be an important aspect of the impact of China’s economic and socialdevelopment.At first, the first chapter proposes the research background and its theoreticalsignificance and practical significance of this paper. Then the second chapter analyzesthe domestic and foreign research literature about two issues, one of which is therelationship between china’s economic growth and carbon emissions, and the other oneis that if the famous carbon emissions EKC curve exists or not. In the second chapter, Ialso put forward the research ideas and research methods. In the third chapter, analysisof China’s economic development, industrial structure and energy structure, a qualitativeanalysis of the economic development of positive relationships with the carbonemissions, industrial structure at present our country industry and construction industryas the leading, show that the primary energy consumption structure is dominated bycoal, with China’s economic growth, carbon dioxide emissions will continue to increase.The fourth chapter is the empirical part of this paper. Firstly using IPCC carbonguide calculates in the period of1995-2010the amount of30provinces (excludingTibet) of china carbon emissions, then established kinds of EKC models, includingthe control variables and not. The two models are based on the environmental Kuznets(EKC)curve using1995-2010panel data of30provinces of China on CO2emissions inthe empirical estimation. The result shows that: the "inverted N" relationship betweenper capita CO2emissions and per capita GDP exist in all the two cases, and turningpoints are also exist. But the level of per capita income differences; at present,30provinces of China’s per capita income are located between the two turningpoints, namely carbon emission increases with economic growth, which confirms the qualitative analysis of the third chapter’s conclusion. In the model which includes thecontrol variables, the industrialization level, city level, trade openness and the structureof primary energy consumption were positively related to carbon emissions,environmental regulation and population density and carbon negative correlation.Although the inverted "N" type relationship between carbon emissions andeconomic development, it does not mean that mankind don’t have to take actions tohinder the carbon emission and the second turning point will come naturally. In the fifthpart, I uses the logarithmic mean weight Divisia decomposition model to analysisquantitatively of the effect on carbon emission intensity of the energy structure, energyand carbon emission intensity and the level of economic development contributionto carbon emissions. Effective measures can be used to promote the early arrival of thesecond turning point in the second stage and to reduce carbon emissions. In the sixthpart, according to the results of the analysis of the previous section, put forward ourcountry should improve and change the industrial structure, energy structure,consumption structure, develop clean energy technologies and combine the marketbehavior and the government behavior. Reducing carbon emissions, the development oflow carbon economy does not mean limit economic growth, but to find the new powerfor the sustainable economic development of our country, and to avoid falling into a"middle-income trap". As a result, we can achieve the harmonious development ofenvironment and economy. |
