A Study On The Development And Forecast Of Guizhou 's Cultural Consumption

Since the beginning of market reforms of the last century, no matter the quality of life of the people still living standards have been greatly improved, people have become more diversified consumer demand, China’s consumer culture is in such demand under the background of gradually developed. Cultural consumption as the downstream end of the cultural industry, it is not only closely related to people’s income, even went to the development of cultural industry is closely related to the development of cultural consumption at the same time can also be counterproductive and cultural industry development, between complementary and mutually reinforcing. Therefore, in the twenty-first century, driven by global economic growth highlights the new cultural industries, cultural consumption will inevitably become a hot topic in the global economy. China as a representative of the developing countries, is at a critical stage in the deep water area of reform and the economy facing a transition, an urgent need to optimize the industrial structure, regional environment also faces enormous challenges. The cultural industries and cultural consumption on this end point of a viable path. In this paper, the background of cultural consumption in Guizhou province launched a study.In this paper, cultural consumption in Guizhou Province as the basic starting point, the status quo of cultural consumption and cultural industry development in Guizhou were analyzed, and data collected in Guizhou Province, nearly 10 years of cultural consumption empirical analysis on comprehensive analysis of the current draw Guizhou cultural consumption problems and propose appropriate countermeasures. Finally, Guizhou Province cultural consumption data from 1992 to 2013 to establish predictive analysis model of cultural consumption in Guizhou province to predict the next few years. Overall total full text is divided into six chapters: The first chapter, introduces the full text of the relevant background research methods Summary of ideas, as well as domestic and foreign-related. Concepts and features chapter of cultural consumption, mainly on the definition of cultural consumption made the introduction, and cultural consumption studied in this paper have defined, the following research areas; but also on the general characteristics of cultural consumption were summarized. Chapter III development status Guizhou cultural consumption and its problems, this chapter from the total consumption of culture, structure, and supply the three aspects of the status quo of cultural consumption in Guizhou Province were introduced, then according to the specific circumstances of these and other related ask questions of the current situation of cultural consumption Guizhou exist. The fourth chapter analyzes the factors affecting cultural consumption and Countermeasures in Guizhou, this chapter is divided into two parts, the first part of the use of the principles of economics factors affecting Guizhou cultural consumption are analyzed and empirical analysis based on relevant data; the second part Guizhou cultural consumption for the current situation, issues and factors that exist for the development of cultural consumption Guizhou propose countermeasures. Chapter ARIMA model to predict cultural consumption in Guizhou, this chapter is mainly based on cultural consumption data Guizhou Province from 1992 to 2013, the establishment of self-Regressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA model), Guizhou cultural spending the next three years situation prediction. Chapter VI summary and outlook for the full text.