Study On Population Modernization Of Shandong Province

China will implement the third step of strategic objectives of the modernization in 21st century, will realize the modernization basically by 2050, Population is an important factor in the modernization construction of China. The population modernization is a theory about population and development which was put forward by Chinese scholars, the theory is based on Chinese population's development The time of this theory puts forward is so short that it requires to develop and perfect. Shandong is the large province of the coastal area of east China in economy, is the second large provinces of population in China too, Shandong will build into" big and and strong, rich and beautiful new Shandong" in new century, Realize the modernization all-sidedly. At the beginning of new century, carry on population modernization theory probing into and positive research deeply, Have double meaning of theory and practice. This text is on the basis of investigating a large amount of documents, the background put forward to the population modernization and population modernization basic theories carry on summarizing systematically and theoretical generalization, Use the ration and method of determining the nature to combine together, regard Shandong as the regional unit and carry on the positive research, And has proposed accelerating advancing the countermeasure and suggestion to drive the population modernization of Shandong.The first part: Put forward the theory. Have explained the background that the population modernizations put forward at first, The modernized tide and national conditions of population and modernization construction of China that surged forward in the second half of the 20th century are all the background of population modernization. After the population modernization was put forward, a lot of domestic scholars have discussed this proposition, Act as and recommend in a part these scholar's modernized thoughts of population.The second part: Analysis the theory. Proceed with people's modernization relevant concepts, some basic conception such as the modernization, population, people are differentiated and analyzed correctly, Have expounded the abroad theories about the main theory of the population and development - appropriate population theory and population change theory. Have explained the main content and basic intension of population modernization emphatically, Put forward the modernized main content of population and include the modernization of the type modernization of population reproduction, quality of the population and population structure modernization.The third part: Positive research. Based on modernized theory of population, make the qualitative judgment to the process of Shandong population modernization. Estimate out the population modernization levels of Shandong province and 17 districts and cities of Shandong with the quantitative method. The content of the positive research is divided into three parts.(1) The judgment of the process of Shandong population modernization. Through choosing a group of most representative indexes, use the All Status Going Through Hypothesis as theoretical foundation. It is analyzed the world includes 131 nationals development array of population, then judge the point in the process of Shandong population modernization,(2) The levels calculation of Shandong population modernization. First of all, design the index system of population modernization according to the population modernization theory. Second, choose the modernized goal function of Shandong population modernization. Third, confirm the standardized method of the data, adopting the law of standard value will standardize dealing with to the data. The fourth, set up the models of population modernization testing and assess. The fifth, On the foundation of working in the front, calculate the realization degree of population modernization of Shandong province and 17 districts and cities inside the province, And analysis the characteristic of population modernization of Shandong br...