Guangzhou Port

As a large port of 100,000,000 tons in quantity of inpor/export cargo, the second-large port in China ,Guangzhou port was overtaken by Ningbo port in 2001.What's the reason? Why Guangzhou port railed in harbour competition? It became the great bewilderment raced by Guangzhou port. To find the way out, Mr. H hosted a seminar with topic of Guangzhou Port's Survival and DevelopmentAttendants expressed different opinions on Guangzhou Port's future and present difficulties. Opinion A, It's a common rule that river ports goes downhill and the sea ports gets upsurge. Therefore, it's better for Guangzhou Port to stay away from the competition. Opinion B, Guangzhou Port has made some achievements. The difficulties it faces now are mainly about the management method. With continuous reform, it could resume and preserve its prosperity. Opinion C, Guangzhou Port faces both opportunities and challenges. The opportunities exit in the great cargo sources brought by the high-speed grown of economy in Pearl River Delta. The challenges come from the competitions among surrounding ports and Guangzhou Port's incapability in production. What's the main problem faced by Guangzhou Port? Upon this, the seminar hasn't formed an overwhelming opinion.The case analysis centers on the reason why the port production development slows down. With the SPSS 11.0 statistic software, correlation ^egression and curve estimation analysis have been carried out on Guangzhou Port's cargo sources and production capability. At 95% confidence, it comes such a conclusion that Guangzhou Port has sufficient cargo sources but will become incapable in production. While getting ride off Guangzhou Port's bewilderment the conclusion provides basis solution to the bottleneck situation.Although the case discusses Guangzhou Port's development, it is still of universal significance and could be used for reference by other ports. The statistical methods employed in the case analysis are also of universal significance. Among them, a statistical conclusion is found that it's a strictly positive interrelation between port cargo sources and the city's GDP. It could also be referred on confirming specific port size and guiding port design to meet the future development...