Study On The Models And Methods Of Traffic Reconciliation System Coordination Analysis On Large-scale Comprehensive Passenger Hub

A large modern city rail passenger station are set outside the city railway transport and urban transport mode of transport in one large integrated transport hub. Therefore, to achieve large-scale passenger station of the railway station area traffic and ease the city's transport system, transport planning and coordination between the organization and management, on the full play to the comprehensive transportation hub function, improve integrated transport efficiency and service quality are all important practical significance. As a reasonable Large-scale integrated transport terminal Reconciliation System not only to the technical and economic conditions of a variety of transport modes, but also to the planning and coordination, coordination of station area and a large passenger transfer the layout to connect the process of collection and distribution organization and coordination of complex issues. Therefore, the large-scale integrated transport terminal coordination problem is a complex system optimization problem.Research topic of this paper carried out on Large Passenger Traffic Reconciliation System Coordination Model and Method, combining to participate in the thesis research project of the Ministry of Railways "Large Terminal Simulation System", and in the context of Beijing South Railway Station.In this thesis, based on analyzing the current situation at home and abroad, mainly conducted in-depth research on Systematic Analysis of Large Passenger traffic structure, Share volume of traffic ease prediction model, the models and methods of Traffic Reconciliation System Coordination analysis and so on, and for examples of the actual of Beijing South Railway Station Traffic Reconciliation System. In this thesis, used system analysis method, Proposed the sharing prediction Logit model of traffic ease way to the smallest Transfer total time, the greatest facilitate Passenger transfer target and proposed parameter optimization estimation method; Established the transport capacity and transport organization coordination model and method between Rail transit, bus and taxi Traffic Reconciliation System and outside rail SystemIn this thesis, the distribution of Beijing South Railway Station bus lines and rail lines is analyzed (Including originating bus (21 lines), Channel bus (12 lines) and urban rail (metro line 4,14),) A simulation case of transport ease coordination program, Proposed the Traffic Reconciliation sharing of the various modes in the 2015 and 2020. Analyzed the ease coordination state of various of the transportation modes in Beijing South Railway Station(Metro Line 4 by the grid interval 5 minutes, Marshalling 6 to meet the needs, Metro transport capacity sufficient. Bus with an average interval of 11 minutes departure to meet peak hour demand, In the present situation, if conventional bus with 12-minute departure spacing program, proposed to increase two originating bus lines, two channels bus lines; If you start with 15 minutes interval, proposed to increase five originating bus lines, nine channels bus lines.);And proposed in 2020 ease coordination Transport Organization program of various of transportation modes(in 2020, subway lines 4,14with the grid spacing 2 minutes, Marshalling 6. In 2020, in case of without increasing the bus routes, using the 8 minutes Departure spacing program; If using a 10-minute interval, proposed to increase two originating bus lines, three channels bus lines.)and provide a theoretical basis for Beijing South Railway Station Integrated Operations Management Organization...