The Feasible Research Of Automobile Passenger Depot Construction

The road automobile passenger depot is important constituent in the transportation system, it and the road together provides the service for our country's economic development and the people's journey. At present, our country's highway construction has obtained the remarkable achievement, especially massive first-class highway one after another being completed and put into use, caused the highway traffic enterprise of our country to realize the historical leap development. But, relatively lags actually as the highway transportation infrastructure important constituent automobile passenger depot construction, at the same time compares with the highway construction project feasibility study quite perfect establishment method and the target system, the road automobile passenger depot project construction feasibility study method and the target system very are also incomplete.Because the passenger depot items of basic construction feasible research institute involves content many, to some quite mature theory method not in this article discussion scope, but is insufficiently is mature to some or has the related theory method which the possibility obtains progresses (for example: How carries on the forecast to the passenger transport rate, how carries on the selected location layout to the passenger depot, how carries on the benefit appraisal to the passenger depot items of basic construction) to carry on the discussion. Therefore, the author has mainly completed the following several works:(1) at present, the time series smoothing procedures is a commonly used forecast method to the future ten years' passenger transport rate, but this law is not suitable for the long-term forecast. The author proposed the linear return analytic method which is commonly used and suitably for the long-term forecast (including multitude variables linear return analytic method and a weighting single regression linear return analytic method).(2) the computation of the multitude regression linear return model is too much, and when the independent variable is more than two or the history statistical data we needs is much, the computation is extremely huge, and the computation process also complex, also easy to make a mistake. So computation with the hand is not realistic. In order to simplify the computation of the many variables linear return model, through the analysis of the connected content to Excel, the author obtained a method which is both be accurate and the time-saving.(3) examinations we do, with multitude regression linear return model forecasting passenger transport rate, are many, also the study, the understanding and the application of the correlation software is difficult. The author proposed a simpler forecast method -weighting single regression linear return forecast method.(4)through the analysis to the passenger depot selected location layout principle, proposed four kind of basic patterns of the passenger depot layout: the direction type, the central type,...