Impact Analysis Of Climate Change On Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone In The Electric Power, Railway Transportation

Climate change is statistically significant climate mean state of great change or continue a longer period of time (typically for 10 years or longer) climate change. Climate change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcings, or artificially sustained atmospheric composition and land use change. "United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change" (UNFCCC) in the first paragraph, the words "climate change" is defined as:After a considerable period of observation, in addition to the natural climate change, directly or indirectly by human activities change the composition of the atmosphere caused by global climate change. To be an important part of grobal environmental studies, the impact of climate change on socio-economic research for the promotion of local socio-economic and ecological environment of the coordinated and sustainable development is very significance, also is a hot topic in academic circles.Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone is the WWF's global importance designated ecological areas, bear the flood water, regulating climate, pollution and other degradation of ecological functions. Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone in the present is in the industrialization period of rapid urbanization, electricity and transportation in the region occupies an important position in national economic development. Based on this, this paper summarize and organize the meteorological data, power data, the Statistical Yearbook data, using statistical methods, spatial analysis and ARCGIS software, MINITAB software, explore the influence of climate change on the power and railway transport The studies as following:(1) The basic facts of climate change, particularly temperature and precipitation analysis of the facts in detail, the use of climate trend rate, a significant regression coefficient test, using GIS tools, air temperature and precipitation obtained a 10-year, month, season, flood and other units of the facts of climate change, a different time of the law of climate change, and space to reflect.(2) Combined with a variety of technical means, under the premise of climate change on electricity and traffic impact done a quantitative analysis. Climate change on electricity consumption in the impact areas, the meteorological factors in my study in Nanchang area of influence of power load based on the realization of a long Xulie climate factors change the power of the research work, a statistical model based on the Yong power and socio-economic, climate change, the formula, excluding economic factors, climate change has been the impact on the size of consumption; On this basis, has made climate change, annual average temperature on the response of consumption and the average temperature on change on consumption responses to climate change, comparing the two conclusions can be seen, in the final result of the operation, the good consistency and reliability, can better support this article. On the impact of climate change on transport full use of the AHP evaluation system, and the establishment of a common role in a multi-factor (elevation factor, Geological structure and geological fault level (with) factors and climate factors) impact assessment, the key Steps such as the weight assignment, spatial analysis and grid computing function of the help of GIS software, come rail transport security vulnerable to climate change impacts of spatial distribution; Supplemented by meteorological data, to explain the context of climate change, rail transport respond to extreme weather and climate events in time and space.(3) The impact of the facts have been observed compared to improve the reliability of quantitative analysis. Explaining the results of this study coincide with the geographical extent and degree of industry response, and determine the facts collected compared to interpretation of climate change related events in the time scale and spatial scales need to withstand the impact of the facts tests to determine the study time, especially in the context of whether the geographical distribution of socio-economic significance.