| For a long time,as the factory of the word,the main advantage of product manufactured in China is cheap labor,land,raw materials and other primary elements.As traditional cost advantage gradually vanishes,manufacturing development momentum must be switched to innovation driven development,with technological progress as the core.Historical background of service economy and development trend of global value chain division of labor demand China more open of service to the word.Compared with the manufacturing industry,the service sectors opening is more complex.Although the service sectors opening has received attention and concern,from the existing literature,the theoretical research is mainly focused on the qualitative study on the service industry opening’effect on the technological progress of manufacturing industry.So,relatively speaking,it is not yet to carry out deeply research on the influence mechanism of service sectors opening to manufacturing technology progress.The research ideas of this paper are:based on the trend of service sectors opening and the reality of the development of service trade,starting with the determinants of technological progress in manufacturing industry,combining with the endogenous economic growth theory,the service trade theory,the service economy theory and the technical economics theory,deeply analyzing the impact mechanism of service sectors opening on the technological progress of the manufacturing industry in the open country,and using Chinese data to carry out empirical research,to provide empirical support for the theoretical analysis results.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows:First,this paper constructs a theoretical analysis framework of the influence mechanism of service sectors opening on manufacturing technology progress.Combined with GRH(2008)model,this paper brings service industry opening and the related factors that affect the technological progress of manufacturing industry into a unified analysis framework,and analyzes that the service sectors opening is mainly through the influence of human capital,knowledge capital and institutional quality of manufacturing industry to promote technological progress of manufacturing industry.Correspondingly,in this paper,the influence mechanism of service sectors opening on technological progress of manufacturing industry is summarized as human capital accumulation effect,knowledge capital accumulation effect and system quality promotion effect.Firstly,by human capital accumulation effect,the service sectors opening promotes the accumulation of human capital in manufacturing enterprises,and the marginal productivity of the total labor force,and then improves the productivity level of manufacturing industry;Secondly,by intellectual capital effect,the service sectors opening changes the manufacturing enterprises’ decision on the invest in R&D innovation,optimizes the allocation efficiency of innovation resources,accelerates the accumulation of enterprise knowledge capital,enhances the technological innovation capability,further accelerates the pace of technological progress in the manufacturing industry.Lastly,the service sectors opening promotes the docking of the service industry system and the international system in the open country and the reform of the domestic system of the open country,optimizes the system environment of manufacturing technology progress,and then enhances the technical level of China’s manufacturing industry.Second,according to the different ways of service trade,service sectors opening can be divided into two types:cross border service trade opening and service industry FDI opening.This paper not only theoretically analyzes the roles of service industry opening in the influence mechanism of manufacturing technology progress in two ways,but also verify it through the empirical analysis of China’s data.Third,verify the existence of the influence of service sectors opening on China’s manufacturing technology progress.Empirical analysis results shows that the service sectors opening,measured by cross border service trade opening penetration and service industry FDI opening penetration,is the Granger reason for the technological progress of China’s manufacturing industry,which is based on the total factor productivity.Meanwhile,differences in the way of the service sectors opening can lead to the growth rate of the total factor of manufacturing industry.With increase of the number of lags,the influence of cross border service trade opening on the total factor productivity growth of manufacturing industry is gradually weakened,while the effect of service sectors FDI opening on the total factor productivity growth of manufacturing industry gradually increases.Fourth,this paper makes an empirical test on the influence mechanism of China’s manufacturing technology progress on the human capital accumulation’s effect.From different service sectors opening ways,the service sectors FDI opening’s effect on the human capital accumulation in manufacturing industry is greater than the cross border service trade opening’s,but the effect is weak,which indicate that the service industry FDI on the accumulation of human capital accumulation in China’s manufacturing industry is not stable.Further using the threshold test method proposed by Hansen,the effect of human capital accumulation in service industry is found to have a significant threshold.When the cross border service trade opening penetration rate and the service industry FDI opening penetration rate exceed a specific threshold value,the service sectors opening will have a significant effect on the accumulation of human capital in China’s manufacturing industry.Besides,both two ways of the service sectors opening will have a negative impact on the total employment of China’s manufacturing industry,while the service sectors FDI opening promotes the manufacturing sector wage income.Fifth,the service sectors opening’s effect on the knowledge capital accumulation in the impact mechanism of China’s manufacturing technology progress is remarkable.From different service industry opening ways,the cross border service trade opening and service sectors FDI opening invert U relationship significant influence on the intellectual capital stock of China’s manufacturing,when the cross border service trade opening penetration rate and the service sectors FDI opening penetration rate exceed a certain threshold,the service sectors opening has a significant inhibitory effect on the further improvement of manufacturing industry’s intellectual capital stock.Meanwhile,both the cross border service trade opening and the service sectors FDI opening will have a positive impact on the efficiency of China’s manufacturing knowledge capital accumulation in the current period.But in the long run,neither the cross border service trade opening nor the service sectors FDI opening can have a positive impact on the further improvement of the efficiency of the manufacturing knowledge capital accumulation.Additionally,the influence of service sectors opening on the stock and efficiency of knowledge capital accumulation in manufacturing industry also exist industry heterogeneity.The cross border service trade opening and the service sectors FDI opening can have a positive impact on the accumulation of knowledge capital stock and efficiency of high-tech manufacturing industry,and a negative impact on the accumulation of knowledge capital stock and efficiency in the high pollution industry.Sixth,this paper makes an empirical test on the influence mechanism of China’s manufacturing technology progress on the quality promotion effect.The service sectors opening’s impact on the system quality promotion effect of the Chinese manufacturing industry technology progress impact mechanism is overall significant.From the national level empirical results,the service sectors opening has a significant positive effect on the quality of the system which is represented by the market index,that is,a higher degree of openness in the service industry helps to sound relevant laws and regulations,speed up the reform of the market,optimize system quality.The"path dependence" effect of the quality of the system is obvious.Per capita GDP has a significant positive impact on the quality of the system,and the higher income gap is opposite.From the empirical results of the partition domain,the service sectors opening played a positive role in improving the quality of the eastern region,but the relationship between the two regions in the central and western regions was not significant.Finally,based on the theory analysis and the empirical results,this paper provide a policy framework.China should develop a reasonable and orderly service industry opening policy at the present stage.China should promote the amalgamation and benign interaction between service industry and manufacturing industry.China should continue to give play to the advantage of the traditional service industry,vigorously develop modern service industry to enhance our service industry’s international competitiveness.China should speed up the human capital accumulation with balance.enhance the efficiency of knowledge capital supply.China should pay attention to innovative results of the market value of output;intensify the reform to optimize the manufacturing enterprise system environment. |
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