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Merging measurement and modeling for more efficient hydrologic analysis

Posted on:2010-07-19Degree:Ph.DType:Dissertation
University:The University of ArizonaCandidate:Hinnell, Andrew CharlesFull Text:PDF
GTID:1448390002475483Subject:Hydrology
Abstract/Summary:
Models used as part of quantitative studies of vadose zone processes are becoming increasingly complex. However, even the most elaborate models can not capture the complex interactions between spatially distributed water, plant, and atmospheric components of the unsaturated flow system. These processes will always need to be approximated by relatively simple mathematical expressions with limited parameterization. Because of this, there is an ever increasing awareness among hydrologists of the need to describe and quantify these uncertainties to better understand the utility of model predictions and inform decisions concerning model development and data collection. Significant developments in the most recent generation of parameter estimation codes have facilitated the estimation of parameters and quantification of the associated uncertainty in the parameter estimates and model structure; however, these codes are computationally expensive. To facilitate the proposed analysis of more computationally efficient models are required.;Computationally efficient models do not necessarily imply over simplified models In the appropriate context, simplifications are possible that reduce the complexity of the model but do not reduce the complexity of the system being represented by the model. I investigate a series of approaches to reduce the computational load of models, facilitating inverse analysis with readily available computing facilities.;In light of the improvements to the methodology of parameter estimation, the success of the analysis still depends on the observed response to which the model is compared; the data and the information contained in the data. Given limited resources (both cost and technology) it is important to identify those data that will provide the greatest information about a system. To this end, the investigations presented here also investigate methods to identify informative data and to extract information from data effectively.
Keywords/Search Tags:Model, Data, Efficient
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