Research On The Dynamic Mechanism And Path Choice Of The Global Value Chain Rising Of China's Timber Industry

Along with the historical process of economic globalization,the Global Value Chain(GVC)labor division system is becoming the latest model of product division and production,resulting in higher level of collaboration of international division and finer production process.In this context,as an important part of the manufacturing industry,the timber industry is also embedded into the labor division system of the GVC,making much clearer division and collaboration of timber products throughout the world.For China,China's timber industry not only benefits from the GVC labor division system,but also is confused in participating in the GVC labor division system.Firstly,although China's timber industry has been embedded into the GVC,the way and extent of the timber industry's participation in the GVC is unclear.Secondly,in the traditional trade statistics mode,there is a bias in the accounting of the total export trade volume of the timber industry.Specifically,the repeated calculation and foreign value added are included in the domestic export,resulting in the overestimation of export trade volume.Therefore,it is necessary to calculate real added value of export trade of China's timber industry.At the same time,whether the timber industry can achieve value chain climbing in the process of participating in the GVC and its driving mechanism need to be further identified.Finally,it is worth exploring that whether China's timber industry continues to participate in the international labor division in accordance with the existing value chain paradigm dominated by developed countries or establish an effective climbing path in line with China's national conditions through the reconstruction of the value chain.To this end,based on the data from the world input-output table and using a combination of theoretical and empirical analysis,this study takes the timber industry as research object,comprehensively analyzes the status quo of the participation of the timber industry in the GVC,measures trade gains and its driving drivers of growth,estimates the labor division status in the GVC and its driving factors for GVC climbing,and reconstructed the GVC of timber industry.Finally,this paper concludes the driving mechanism and climbing path of the GVC of China's timber industry with a view to providing reference for China's timber industry and trade policy formulation.The specific research results are as follows:The analysis of the status quo of the participation of timber industry in the GVC shows that China's timber industry mainly participates in the GVC in the form of backward participation,but overall,both forward participation and backward participation are at a low level in the world.Empirical analysis of the motivation for forward participation and backward participation of the timber industry indicates that foreign trade dependence,natural resource endowment,economic development level,population size and forest rent ratio in GDP are the key factors affecting the forward participation of the timber industry in the GVC.Economic development level,foreign trade dependence,urbanization rate and net inflow of foreign direct investment are important factors affecting the backward participation of the timber industry in the GVC.Measurement of the trade gains of timber industry in the GVC and analysis of its growth dynamic mechanism show that:in terms of total export,domestic value added takes the largest share in the export value added of timber industry,accounting for more than 80%of total export,and the domestic value-added rate of wood processing industry is slightly higher than that of the paper industry.Through the value-added trade accounting,it is also found that the statistical error caused by the traditional trade accounting method cannot be underestimated,and the foreign value added and repeated counting account for more than 15%.In addition,in terms of timber trade exporter countries,the United States is currently the largest market for China's timber industry export with an average annual export volume of more than 2.5 billion US dollars.In the deconstruction of the value added of bilateral export,China is gradually narrowing the gap with the United States.Compared with some developing economies,China's trade value-adding capacity is relatively superior,In addition,the analysis of factors affecting the trade gains of the timber industry in the GVC shows that trade costs and participation in the GVC are the key factors affecting the growth of trade gains of the timber industry and its sub-sectors.The measurement of the labor division status of the timber industry in the GVC and analysis of its dynamic mechanism for climbing indicate that the timber industry in China is generally at the middle level among 43 major sample economies during the period from 2000 to 2014.Among them,the paper industry has a higher overall status than the wood processing industry in terms of the labor division in the GVC.Specifically,the status of labor division of the wood processing industry in the GVC is at the middle-level,while the status of labor division of the paper industry is at the upper-middle level.Empirical analysis shows that the quality of export products and technological innovation in the timber industry and its sub-sectors are the core factors affecting the rise of its status in the GVC.The analysis of the climbing path of the timber industry in the GVC shows that an effective climbing path may be established through the reconstruction of the value chain,and the analysis of GVC reconstruction of the timber industry verifies that the core factors driving the trade gains and the division status of the timber industry and its sub-sectors can affect the improvement of the GVC reconstruction ability of the timber industry,and the trade environment(foreign trade dependence)and the institutional environment(economic freedom)may also affect the improvement of its reconstruction ability.Secondly,it depicts the complete path evolution process of GVC reconstruction to realize the climbing of division status of the timber industry,involving four stages,i.e.OEM production,,mimic and cooperative production,autonomous innovation and industrial upgrading,and mastery of international discourse right.Finally,it gives the enlightenment of how to achieve the climbing status for China's timber through the reconstruction of the value chain.